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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Cap Projections & Coach Compensation Changes; Leafs Vs Devils
Author Message
LeafMan
Location: A proof is a proof. And when you have a good proof, it's because it's proven
Joined: 05.20.2007

Dec 9 @ 11:37 AM ET
I remember quite a few rants over the past couple years. It's hard to keep them apart.
- 1979AD



When something is subjective you have to take a close look at the numbers and not give it full credence.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Dec 9 @ 11:38 AM ET
I'm still waiting for a valid explanation as to why shot attempts are a better metric for possession than O-Zone time.
- 1979AD



Agreed.


With the looming advance of the camera tracking system, this should be available soon.
Dozzer
Referee
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow since I’m way up high
Joined: 09.15.2010

Dec 9 @ 11:38 AM ET
Oh Sparks is going back to the Marlies unless Reimer is injured still but he has proven he can play, he never quits on a play, that save on Stempniak was outstanding in the shootout.
- LeafMan


oh.. i like sparks.. and i am glad he has proven his skill.. it allows the leafs brass to consider trading one of reimer / bernier at the deadline without concerns of not having another NHL capable goaltender in the system
zazzle
Joined: 01.19.2013

Dec 9 @ 11:39 AM ET
Ah ok.
but can play in NHL?
weird.

thanks

- Fakepartofme



yup he still can play in the NHL.
LeafMan
Location: A proof is a proof. And when you have a good proof, it's because it's proven
Joined: 05.20.2007

Dec 9 @ 11:39 AM ET
while he has shown to have outgrown the OHL he has still yet to prove if he can play against men.

I think the brass will approach next camp with an open mind, but if he isnt physically ready yet and gets repeatedly bumped off the puck, i bet you see him as an over ager in the OHL next year

- Dozzer

Yeah could happen but I think with the way Babcoock has them playing it will be an easier choice to keep him.
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Dec 9 @ 11:41 AM ET
I'm still waiting for a valid explanation as to why shot attempts are a better metric for possession than O-Zone time.
- 1979AD


I think you hit the foundation of my basic argument against these stats. They don't seem to be measuring the right thing.

I think the advanced stats are still in their infancy and people are measuring what is currently possible to measure, which is OK, as long as they don't just assume it means something else.

The other problem is that your point/suggestion will go unheard. Generally, the proponents of advanced stats are a bunch of arrogant zealots. They are incapable of believing anything other than they have found the Holy Grail. When the stats belie the reality, there is always a reason that has nothing to do with the efficacy of the stats.

In short, you don't understand.


Lucas Neilson
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Atlantic Division Blogger, ON
Joined: 06.26.2015

Dec 9 @ 11:41 AM ET
NEW blog up fellas

twiztedmike
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.06.2007

Dec 9 @ 11:42 AM ET
swag
1979AD
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: "I'm a Sens Fan!" -Kaptaan
Joined: 09.08.2010

Dec 9 @ 11:42 AM ET
Are Kadri's point totals (lackthereof) a good thing because they hurt his contract negotiation leverage, so he can be paid as a 3C?
twiztedmike
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.06.2007

Dec 9 @ 11:43 AM ET
Are Kadri's point totals (lackthereof) a good thing because they hurt his contract negotiation leverage, so he can be paid as a 3C?
- 1979AD

yes
twiztedmike
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.06.2007

Dec 9 @ 11:43 AM ET
NEW blog up fellas


- Lucas.Neilson

ty
DoubleDown
Montreal Canadiens
Location: Not to point any fingers but Tyson Barrie has looked awful in the blue and white for the Leafs., QC
Joined: 07.28.2006

Dec 9 @ 11:44 AM ET
I can't stream it at work. I just saw comments on the gist of it.

Do you think there is something to it or is Poulin off base?

Related note...

I mentioned a while ago that Randy Robles from Elias Sports bureau felt that today's Advanced Stats were pretty useless (this was over a year ago). He also went on to say that they might even prove damaging to the game. I believe (can't remember for sure) that his point was the same thing mentioned here with Kadri.

As long as shots on/toward the goal is called "possession" or "driving possession", it's a potential problem. It could encourage exactly the opposite of retaining possession.

- Aetherial


can't say i agree with that. putting more pucks on net is a pretty good indicator that you have the puck more. and even if it's not, you're still doing more with it. i don't see how keeping the puck on your stick for long periods of time proves anything. in today's NHL is you have the puck on your stick for more than a few seconds, you're nowhere near the net.
Pecafan Fan
Montreal Canadiens
Location: Pacioretty, c'est mou comme d'la marde - Gilbert Delorme
Joined: 01.20.2009

Dec 9 @ 11:46 AM ET
can't say i agree with that. putting more pucks on net is a pretty good indicator that you have the puck more. and even if it's not, you're still doing more with it. i don't see how keeping the puck on your stick for long periods of time proves anything. in today's NHL is you have the puck on your stick for more than a few seconds, you're nowhere near the net.
- DoubleDown


At the same time, shooting the puck from anywhere and everywhere because you're down by 2 or 3 goals early in the game doesn't indicate that you played better than the opposing team.
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Dec 9 @ 11:46 AM ET
Yeah, she still looks good for her age It may have come from liking the role she played in a movie I saw.
- Aetherial

Time after Time?
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Dec 9 @ 11:47 AM ET
can't say i agree with that. putting more pucks on net is a pretty good indicator that you have the puck more. and even if it's not, you're still doing more with it. i don't see how keeping the puck on your stick for long periods of time proves anything. in today's NHL is you have the puck on your stick for more than a few seconds, you're nowhere near the net.
- DoubleDown

Jason Blake.

/DoubleDown's argument.
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Dec 9 @ 11:52 AM ET
can't say i agree with that. putting more pucks on net is a pretty good indicator that you have the puck more. and even if it's not, you're still doing more with it. i don't see how keeping the puck on your stick for long periods of time proves anything. in today's NHL is you have the puck on your stick for more than a few seconds, you're nowhere near the net.
- DoubleDown


Over a large enough sample, there should be a correlation, yes.

The point is, if people start firing the puck at the net whenever they can, they will be inflating their advanced stats, yet not necessarily improving their actual possession or their chance to win.




senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Dec 9 @ 11:53 AM ET
I can't stream it at work. I just saw comments on the gist of it.

Do you think there is something to it or is Poulin off base?

Related note...

I mentioned a while ago that Randy Robles from Elias Sports bureau felt that today's Advanced Stats were pretty useless (this was over a year ago). He also went on to say that they might even prove damaging to the game. I believe (can't remember for sure) that his point was the same thing mentioned here with Kadri.

As long as shots on/toward the goal is called "possession" or "driving possession", it's a potential problem. It could encourage exactly the opposite of retaining possession.

- Aetherial


this is a dead horse...

There is a post on TLN with shot location details on Kadri..if you want to know
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Dec 9 @ 11:54 AM ET
Over a large enough sample, there should be a correlation, yes.

The point is, if people start firing the puck at the net whenever they can, they will be inflating their advanced stats, yet not necessarily improving their actual possession or their chance to win.

- Aetherial



There is no such thing as quality of shot.
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Dec 9 @ 11:54 AM ET
Time after Time?
- Atomic Wedgie


I think it was Dead of Winter, but it could be Life as a House or What's Eating Gilbert Grape.
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Dec 9 @ 11:54 AM ET
There is no such think as quality of shot.
- burn


No, of course not
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Dec 9 @ 11:56 AM ET
this is a dead horse...

There is a post on TLN with shot location details on Kadri..if you want to know

- senstroll


What I want is for you to weigh in on Poulin's assertion. Do you believe there is anything to it. Is or was Kadri purposely trying to inflate his stats?
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Dec 9 @ 11:57 AM ET
I'm still waiting for a valid explanation as to why shot attempts are a better metric for possession than O-Zone time.
- 1979AD


the info is out here if you want to look it up.
poohcrumbs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I think Loov is going to become another Lidstrom- matt1337
Joined: 09.12.2009

Dec 9 @ 11:57 AM ET
has anyone ever posted the Bill Burr Philly rant video over in the Philly thread? Is that bannable? asking for a friend
Pecafan Fan
Montreal Canadiens
Location: Pacioretty, c'est mou comme d'la marde - Gilbert Delorme
Joined: 01.20.2009

Dec 9 @ 11:58 AM ET
What I want is for you to weigh in on Poulin's assertion. Do you believe there is anything to it. Is or was Kadri purposely trying to inflate his stats?
- Aetherial


I didn't read the article, but I think all Kadri is trying to do, is put up points, any way he can.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Dec 9 @ 12:00 PM ET
What I want is for you to weigh in on Poulin's assertion. Do you believe there is anything to it. Is or was Kadri purposely trying to inflate his stats?
- Aetherial



What did poulin say?
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