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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Pachla: Is the Bogo/Risto pairing ready to roll? Plus a not on Gus
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buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

Nov 17 @ 9:04 AM ET
Also, O'Reilly has come crashing back to earth offensively. That goal is the only point I think he's had in 5 or 6 games.

This team could use another legitimate point producer.

- sbroads24



It's supposed to be Kane (I know, I know...)
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Nov 17 @ 9:16 AM ET
It's supposed to be Kane (I know, I know...)
- buffalofan19

I'm not sure it is supposed to be though.

His career average is slightly under 50 points per season.

Factor in time missed and he averages about 40 points a year.

Granted that should go up playing with someone like Eichel, but I'm not sure they have the best chemistry.

In all honesty, Evander Kane is a great 2nd line power forward to have. Not a top line option on a cup team IMO.

We could use a guy like Jeff Carter, Rick Nash, Hossa etc who you can count on for 30 goals and 60+ points. Obviously those players aren't easily acquired
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Nov 17 @ 9:27 AM ET
That's not a knock on Kane either, but I think that we have a lot of players that play a certain style, and in the end we might need someone that finishes on a more consistent basis.

We have streaky goal scorers
mhp
Buffalo Sabres
Location: PROUD MEMBER OF RED SOX NATION SINCE 1975!!!! , SD
Joined: 01.14.2008

Nov 17 @ 9:31 AM ET
I'm not sure it is supposed to be though.

His career average is slightly under 50 points per season.

Factor in time missed and he averages about 40 points a year.

Granted that should go up playing with someone like Eichel, but I'm not sure they have the best chemistry.

In all honesty, Evander Kane is a great 2nd line power forward to have. Not a top line option on a cup team IMO.

We could use a guy like Jeff Carter, Rick Nash, Hossa etc who you can count on for 30 goals and 60+ points. Obviously those players aren't easily acquired

- sbroads24


Let's look a little deeper on Kane's numbers. In 11/12 he played 74 games and scored 30 goals and 57 points. Project that over a full season (8 more games) and he's around 65 points. In the lockout shortened 12/13 season, in 48 games he scored 17 goals and 33 points. Again, project those numbers over a full season and you'll get 30 goals and 55 points. In 13/14 he played 63 games and got 19 goals and 41 points. Projecting that roughly over a full season and he's in the 25 goal range and 55 points.

All of these numbers presented to me don't see a 40 point on average. Also consider the fact that how good the Thrashers/Jets were during those years. Evander Kane with these numbers if he played in the 70's or 80's and he'd be a 40 goal scorer. Just trying to give a different view of it.

I get you hate the idea Myers was traded for a guy that isn't gonna score 40 goals to make you happy about this trade but I see Evander Kane on this team as a 25-30 goal scorer based on potentially better linemates and his past history. He might never play a full 82 game season but he trends in a positive direction.
HonkFortheGoose
Buffalo Sabres
Location: "___________ stinks."-Sabres89, NY
Joined: 07.26.2008

Nov 17 @ 9:36 AM ET
Let's look a little deeper on Kane's numbers. In 11/12 he played 74 games and scored 30 goals and 57 points. Project that over a full season (8 more games) and he's around 65 points. In the lockout shortened 12/13 season, in 48 games he scored 17 goals and 33 points. Again, project those numbers over a full season and you'll get 30 goals and 55 points. In 13/14 he played 63 games and got 19 goals and 41 points. Projecting that roughly over a full season and he's in the 25 goal range and 55 points.

All of these numbers presented to me don't see a 40 point on average. Also consider the fact that how good the Thrashers/Jets were during those years. Evander Kane with these numbers if he played in the 70's or 80's and he'd be a 40 goal scorer. Just trying to give a different view of it.

I get you hate the idea Myers was traded for a guy that isn't gonna score 40 goals to make you happy about this trade but I see Evander Kane on this team as a 25-30 goal scorer based on potentially better linemates and his past history. He might never play a full 82 game season but he trends in a positive direction.

- mhp



Very few players in the league actually play all 82 games.
mhp
Buffalo Sabres
Location: PROUD MEMBER OF RED SOX NATION SINCE 1975!!!! , SD
Joined: 01.14.2008

Nov 17 @ 9:41 AM ET
Very few players in the league actually play all 82 games.
- HonkFortheGoose


I'm just not as down on Kane as broads is. The fact is that both Bogo and Kane, based on their style of play will suffer injuries and frankly in today's diluted NHL if Kane got us 25 goals per with his injuries, I'm good with that. I was trying to point out based on his numbers where he would trend over a full season. Again, a different view point.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Nov 17 @ 9:41 AM ET
Let's look a little deeper on Kane's numbers. In 11/12 he played 74 games and scored 30 goals and 57 points. Project that over a full season (8 more games) and he's around 65 points. In the lockout shortened 12/13 season, in 48 games he scored 17 goals and 33 points. Again, project those numbers over a full season and you'll get 30 goals and 55 points. In 13/14 he played 63 games and got 19 goals and 41 points. Projecting that roughly over a full season and he's in the 25 goal range and 55 points.

All of these numbers presented to me don't see a 40 point on average. Also consider the fact that how good the Thrashers/Jets were during those years. Evander Kane with these numbers if he played in the 70's or 80's and he'd be a 40 goal scorer. Just trying to give a different view of it.

I get you hate the idea Myers was traded for a guy that isn't gonna score 40 goals to make you happy about this trade but I see Evander Kane on this team as a 25-30 goal scorer based on potentially better linemates and his past history. He might never play a full 82 game season but he trends in a positive direction.

- mhp

Again, it's not a knock on Kane, but I was never convinced he was a superstar anyways.

He wasn't on the top line in WPG half the time either, Andrew Ladd was. And I wouldn't call Ladd a great player.

mhp
Buffalo Sabres
Location: PROUD MEMBER OF RED SOX NATION SINCE 1975!!!! , SD
Joined: 01.14.2008

Nov 17 @ 9:43 AM ET
Again, it's not a knock on Kane, but I was never convinced he was a superstar anyways.

He wasn't on the top line in WPG half the time either, Andrew Ladd was. And I wouldn't call Ladd a great player.

- sbroads24



I would agree, I don't see Kane as a superstar, nor do I Myers for that matter. Kane is a physical power forward that could bang in 20+ goals per. I'm fine with that.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Nov 17 @ 9:43 AM ET
I'm just not as down on Kane as broads is. The fact is that both Bogo and Kane, based on their style of play will suffer injuries and frankly in today's diluted NHL if Kane got us 25 goals per with his injuries, I'm good with that.
- mhp

He has done this once in 6 seasons. Probably would have done it once more with the lockout.

Forwards actually regress in scoring after the age of 25. I'm not sure we can count on 25-30 goals at all.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Nov 17 @ 9:45 AM ET
I would agree, I don't see Kane as a superstar, nor do I Myers for that matter. Kane is a physical power forward that could bang in 20+ goals per. I'm fine with that.
- mhp

Trust me, as much as I think Myers is a solid #2 defensemen, I do not think he's near a superstar.

homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Nov 17 @ 10:06 AM ET
He has done this once in 6 seasons. Probably would have done it once more with the lockout.

Forwards actually regress in scoring after the age of 25. I'm not sure we can count on 25-30 goals at all.

- sbroads24

HonkFortheGoose
Buffalo Sabres
Location: "___________ stinks."-Sabres89, NY
Joined: 07.26.2008

Nov 17 @ 10:06 AM ET
He has done this once in 6 seasons. Probably would have done it once more with the lockout.

Forwards actually regress in scoring after the age of 25. I'm not sure we can count on 25-30 goals at all.

- sbroads24


Where are you seeing this? I feel like most guys are really just starting to break into the league at like 24-25. How can the be regressing in scoring if they haven't even been in the league?
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Nov 17 @ 10:09 AM ET
I heard a rumor that Rex Ryan's brother put in for a job with the Bills as a hot dog vendor.

homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Nov 17 @ 10:11 AM ET
Where are you seeing this? I feel like most guys are really just starting to break into the league at like 24-25. How can the be regressing in scoring if they haven't even been in the league?
- HonkFortheGoose

Iggy's best goal scoring season was 30


I looked up 10 other guys, only perry had his best season around 25
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Nov 17 @ 10:13 AM ET
John Scott had his best goal scoring season last year at the age of 32
DDM-Coga
Colorado Avalanche
Location: If Chabot is not in the NHL, Ill revoke my account - AlfiesSald, AB
Joined: 07.24.2009

Nov 17 @ 10:13 AM ET
Also, O'Reilly has come crashing back to earth offensively. That goal is the only point I think he's had in 5 or 6 games.

This team could use another legitimate point producer.

- sbroads24


He wasnt going to keep up that 14% shooting percentage, this shouldnt be a suprise.
SDSabre
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 02.05.2014

Nov 17 @ 10:13 AM ET
I heard a rumor that Rex Ryan's brother put in for a job with the Bills as a hot dog vendor.
- homiedclown


I heard he was turned down for fear he would eat them all.
HonkFortheGoose
Buffalo Sabres
Location: "___________ stinks."-Sabres89, NY
Joined: 07.26.2008

Nov 17 @ 10:14 AM ET
Iggy's best goal scoring season was 30


I looked up 10 other guys, only perry had his best season around 25

- homiedclown


I'm not saying he's wrong, it just seems like it would be odd, based on the fact that most guys get drafted at 18, play a few more years in Jr/College (18-21), and then most likely go to the AHL for a few years. Some dont' spend as much time in certain places, but that general progression takes guys to the age of around 23-24.
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Nov 17 @ 10:16 AM ET
I'm not saying he's wrong, it just seems like it would be odd, based on the fact that most guys get drafted at 18, play a few more years in Jr/College (18-21), and then most likely go to the AHL for a few years. Some dont' spend as much time in certain places, but that general progression takes guys to the age of around 23-24.
- HonkFortheGoose

based on his logic, turris peaked last year with 64 points

sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Nov 17 @ 10:16 AM ET
I'm not saying he's wrong, it just seems like it would be odd, based on the fact that most guys get drafted at 18, play a few more years in Jr/College (18-21), and then most likely go to the AHL for a few years. Some dont' spend as much time in certain places, but that general progression takes guys to the age of around 23-24.
- HonkFortheGoose

There are outliers, but most players produce the most around 22-25 years old.

I'm not saying Kane is going to all of the sudden start scoring 10-15 goals, but I don't think he's all of the sudden start scoring 30+ consistently
DDM-Coga
Colorado Avalanche
Location: If Chabot is not in the NHL, Ill revoke my account - AlfiesSald, AB
Joined: 07.24.2009

Nov 17 @ 10:17 AM ET
Iggy's best goal scoring season was 30


I looked up 10 other guys, only perry had his best season around 25

- homiedclown


I think hes messing up a few facts there, I believe there is data out there (too lazy to go find it) that forwards start to regress after 28...had more to around Crosby as gretzky, lemiuex, etc...guys that franchises were built around, didnt win a cup after 28 years old
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Nov 17 @ 10:19 AM ET
Alfredsson peaked at 33 years old

Steen at 29, could surpass that season soon

the system they are in, and line mates IMO determine their success a lot more than their age, when your taking about a player 22-32 years old
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Nov 17 @ 10:21 AM ET
based on his logic, turris peaked last year with 64 points
- homiedclown

It's not logic, it's fact
http://nerdhockey.com/by-...n-do-nhl-forwards-regress

"The meat of NHL players seem to fall within ages 21-29, with a nearly normal distribution on the frequency, peaking at age 25. Which may lead you to argue that a player doesn't hit their prime at age 27, but may in fact already be on the downswing of his career. Prime seems to be more from the ages of 23-26."

Facts have no place here
DDM-Coga
Colorado Avalanche
Location: If Chabot is not in the NHL, Ill revoke my account - AlfiesSald, AB
Joined: 07.24.2009

Nov 17 @ 10:23 AM ET
It's not logic, it's fact
http://nerdhockey.com/by-...n-do-nhl-forwards-regress

"The meat of NHL players seem to fall within ages 21-29, with a nearly normal distribution on the frequency, peaking at age 25. Which may lead you to argue that a player doesn't hit their prime at age 27, but may in fact already be on the downswing of his career. Prime seems to be more from the ages of 23-26."

Facts have no place here

- sbroads24

HonkFortheGoose
Buffalo Sabres
Location: "___________ stinks."-Sabres89, NY
Joined: 07.26.2008

Nov 17 @ 10:24 AM ET
There are outliers, but most players produce the most around 22-25 years old.

I'm not saying Kane is going to all of the sudden start scoring 10-15 goals, but I don't think he's all of the sudden start scoring 30+ consistently

- sbroads24


But where are you basing this off of? Where are you seeing that's the case? Especially since the majority of players don't even enter the league until closer to 25? yes, there are the guys that come in at 18, but there's far fewer of them than the other way around.
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