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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: The Return For Trading Down & The O’Reilly Factor
Author Message
senstroll
Location: New Fan, Needs to watch Ballet, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jun 11 @ 12:48 PM ET
Anybody know what time the draft will start?
- TonkaPhaneuf


At pick #4
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Jun 11 @ 12:49 PM ET
Same here, my dad passed Dec 23rd of last year.

And where is my invite?

- PatC80

Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Jun 11 @ 12:49 PM ET
At pick #4
- senstroll

KesselRules
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The Koolaid tells me Marner > Eichel ~ twiztedmike
Joined: 12.31.2012

Jun 11 @ 12:51 PM ET
I crunched the numbers and here is the correlation graph going back to the 2004 lockout.


r = 0.3315



Exactly –1. A perfect downhill (negative) linear relationship

–0.70. A strong downhill (negative) linear relationship

–0.50. A moderate downhill (negative) relationship

–0.30. A weak downhill (negative) linear relationship

0. No linear relationship

+0.30. A weak uphill (positive) linear relationship

+0.50. A moderate uphill (positive) relationship

+0.70. A strong uphill (positive) linear relationship

Exactly +1. A perfect uphill (positive) linear relationship

So there's a weak relationship.

Interesting not is there are season with very strong relationship and one that are really weak ( like 0.03 weak)
Fakepartofme
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Living rent free... in your head, ON
Joined: 09.20.2010

Jun 11 @ 12:51 PM ET
Sounds amazing. Good for you two. Enjoy these moments. Makes me miss my pops even more. I'm having a draft party at my place, send the invites out yesterday
- systemtool

Sooooo...I should be expecting it soon?
KesselRules
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The Koolaid tells me Marner > Eichel ~ twiztedmike
Joined: 12.31.2012

Jun 11 @ 12:51 PM ET
I crunched the numbers and here is the correlation graph going back to the 2004 lockout.


r = 0.3315



Exactly –1. A perfect downhill (negative) linear relationship

–0.70. A strong downhill (negative) linear relationship

–0.50. A moderate downhill (negative) relationship

–0.30. A weak downhill (negative) linear relationship

0. No linear relationship

+0.30. A weak uphill (positive) linear relationship

+0.50. A moderate uphill (positive) relationship

+0.70. A strong uphill (positive) linear relationship

Exactly +1. A perfect uphill (positive) linear relationship

So there's a weak relationship.

Interesting not is there are season with very strong relationship and one that are really weak ( like 0.03 weak)

- KesselRules


This is points vs FO% next is standings vs FO%

Scratch that too much work.
Fakepartofme
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Living rent free... in your head, ON
Joined: 09.20.2010

Jun 11 @ 12:52 PM ET
Anybody know what time the draft will start?
- TonkaPhaneuf

When the Leafs select their first pick.


ends after they select the 24th.....unless they make a trade
twiztedmike
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.06.2007

Jun 11 @ 12:52 PM ET
Sounds like alot of fun! And I think every Leafs fan should be excited for this draft, no reason you guys won't get at the very least 1 very good player out of this.

I'm quitting my job in a week so I'll get to watch the whole thing at home... even If I barely know any players past the second round...

- Scabeh

You can pretend that we know everyone and that everyone we drafted is the best, with us, when it happens
Bigzby
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Inside Candymouth, NV
Joined: 07.06.2011

Jun 11 @ 12:57 PM ET
Okay okay...kiss and make up you two.
- systemtool


Definitely kiss.
twiztedmike
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.06.2007

Jun 11 @ 12:59 PM ET
Definitely kiss.
- Bigzby

your camera rollin?
KesselRules
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The Koolaid tells me Marner > Eichel ~ twiztedmike
Joined: 12.31.2012

Jun 11 @ 1:00 PM ET
So what the graphic is saying is that there is a correlation, but it's not strong enough to say think that one causes the other.

There could be other factors as centres that are good players tend to be good at face offs.
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Jun 11 @ 1:00 PM ET
You can pretend that we know everyone and that everyone we drafted is the best, with us, when it happens
- twiztedmike

I know for a fact my dad will ask 20 times Friday night. "Who?"
twiztedmike
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.06.2007

Jun 11 @ 1:04 PM ET
I know for a fact my dad will ask 20 times Friday night. "Who?"
- Woderwick

Better do your research or have the following list of cliches ready:

- He's a fast, Diminuitive & extreme skilled player
- Plays with heart
- Good old Canadian Boy
- Plays two way game
- Not afraid to hit anything
- Underrated
- Surprise pick
- Sleeper pick
- High Risk High Reward player
- Low risk, low reward player
- Can really shoot the puck
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Jun 11 @ 1:13 PM ET
Better do your research or have the following list of cliches ready:

- He's a fast, Diminuitive & extreme skilled player
- Plays with heart
- Good old Canadian Boy
- Plays two way game
- Not afraid to hit anything
- Underrated
- Surprise pick
- Sleeper pick
- High Risk High Reward player
- Low risk, low reward player
- Can really shoot the puck

- twiztedmike

Thanks Twiz...I printed this off.
Schenn-Sational!
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Sorry you don't understand...Y
Joined: 10.08.2008

Jun 11 @ 1:15 PM ET
Better do your research or have the following list of cliches ready:

- He's a fast, Diminuitive & extreme skilled player
- Plays with heart
- Good old Canadian Boy
- Plays two way game
- Not afraid to hit anything
- Underrated

- Surprise pick
- Sleeper pick
- High Risk High Reward player
- Low risk, low reward player
- Can really shoot the puck

- twiztedmike

I thought you were talking about Marner.
twiztedmike
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.06.2007

Jun 11 @ 1:27 PM ET
I thought you were talking about Marner.
- Schenn-Sational!

Yep - the other cliches are for our 2nd 1st rounder
twiztedmike
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.06.2007

Jun 11 @ 1:27 PM ET
Thanks Twiz...I printed this off.
- Woderwick

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