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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: The Return For Trading Down & The O’Reilly Factor
Author Message
KesselRules
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The Koolaid tells me Marner > Eichel ~ twiztedmike
Joined: 12.31.2012

Jun 11 @ 11:10 AM ET
False logic.

Look at the numbers Frenchie posted - Bozak was getting easier draws than Kadri.

- Atomic Wedgie


No he wasn't. What that stat fails to take into account is Kadri padding his opponents stats.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jun 11 @ 11:11 AM ET
he can do that at wing as well..
never said bozak is better than kadri.
I'm just saying Bozak is a guy you want to keep as a #3C for crucial faceoffs, and special teams

- MaximusAurelius


Not worth 4.2 at all

Basically a Steckel or Mcclement
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:12 AM ET
Not the point. COL are not looking to add draft picks or trade up. They already have plenty of youngs players. They need help on the blue line now, not 3 years from now.
- fidopro



So getting nhl player doesn't do that?
aminnes
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mrs. Buzzkill, AB
Joined: 12.17.2008

Jun 11 @ 11:12 AM ET
Earlier in the year the Caps were interested in Bozak so it was said, package the 2 loverboys together...
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:12 AM ET
well some of you guys think that Carolina is trying to get rid of the 5th like it's a diseased animal
- DoubleDown



How's that?
buttndunn
Joined: 06.11.2015

Jun 11 @ 11:14 AM ET
And then you draft Hanifin to replace Rielly?
- Pecafan Fan


Apparently. I am not a fan of trading rielly in the least. I think he is the real deal for many yrs.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:14 AM ET
Corsi Relative: -4.3
– A Corsi relative score of -4.3 indicates that the Toronto Maple Leafs get 4.3 LESS shot attempts than their opponents when he is on the ice (60 minute measurement) as opposed to when he is off the ice.
– This number ranks Tyler Bozak as the worst Maple Leafs centerman. One can normally argue that Bozak is likely facing the opponents top line but Nazem Kadri has actually been deployed in that role, as evidenced by their quality of competiton:
Nazem Kadri: 0.706 Corsi Rel QoC
Tyler Bozak: 0.471 Corsi Rel QoC

Relative Quality of Competition: 0.471
– Tyler Bozak has the second highest QoC Rel amongst Maple Leafs C, indicating that he is playing against the opposing teams second best lines.
– This is concerning given Bozak’s -31 rating on the season, especially when we take into consideration the fact that Kadri is playing against the oppositions top line and is only a -7.
– Bozak’s possession statistics (-4.3 Corsi Rel) indicate that he is regularly being outmatched by a teams second line. If this continues, that cap hit is going to look much worse in the coming years.

On/Off Ice +/-: -1.63
On Ice +/- per 60 Minutes: -1.71
Off Ice +/- per 60 Minutes: -0.08
– The Toronto Maple Leafs even strength +/- worsened by 1.63 goals per 60 minutes when Tyler Bozak was on the ice as opposed to when he was not.
– Coupling this with the fact that he was playing against the opponents second line, it begins to paint a scary picture about his two-way capabilities.

- AdamFrench



This reinforces what is seen on the ice.
As_I_See_It
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 02.28.2011

Jun 11 @ 11:14 AM ET
Earlier in the year the Caps were interested in Bozak so it was said, package the 2 loverboys together...
- aminnes


For what in return?
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:15 AM ET
Kadri is about 45-46%, and Bozak 53 (had one bad season below 50%, rest all 53%+).
Bozak took around 1700 faceoff last year.
that's about 150 wins difference between both of them (based on the 1700).
that's about 2-4 goal difference. (4 when on special teams, 2 in 'average situations').
1 goal difference is 1/3 point in NHL standings.

basically, the difference between Bozak and Kadri taking those faceoffs is 1 point per season.

As a direct individual statistic, that's quite an impact.

- MaximusAurelius



No.
jimi james
Location: Somewhere Between
Joined: 07.17.2010

Jun 11 @ 11:15 AM ET
relax. we're not talking about Nik Lidstrom or Scott Neidermayer here.
- DoubleDown

relax. we're talking about trading the best prospect defenseman and possible future captain of our team, and could hanifin possibly be better than him, worthy of trading him for the pick
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Jun 11 @ 11:15 AM ET
he can do that at wing as well..
never said bozak is better than kadri.
I'm just saying Bozak is a guy you want to keep as a #3C for crucial faceoffs, and special teams

- MaximusAurelius

(frank) Bozak!

Just my opinion.

burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:16 AM ET
And then you draft Hanifin to replace Rielly?
- Pecafan Fan



Makes no sense.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:17 AM ET
You also have to factor in that the person with 48% is going to be facing weaker centres. While the one with 52% is going to face stronger ones.

Plus that 4% over the season can mean the difference between getting hemmed in your zone vs hemming the other team in their zone.

- KesselRules



Except that's isn't the case. Kari faced more #1 c than Bozak
Pecafan Fan
Montreal Canadiens
Location: Pacioretty, c'est mou comme d'la marde - Gilbert Delorme
Joined: 01.20.2009

Jun 11 @ 11:17 AM ET
Makes no sense.
- burn

Exactly.
DoubleDown
Montreal Canadiens
Location: Not to point any fingers but Tyson Barrie has looked awful in the blue and white for the Leafs., QC
Joined: 07.28.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:17 AM ET
relax. we're talking about trading the best prospect defenseman and possible future captain of our team, and could hanifin possibly be better than him, worthy of trading him for the pick
- jimi james


you insulted the guy for bringing up the possibility of Rielly being dealt which was silly.
KesselRules
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The Koolaid tells me Marner > Eichel ~ twiztedmike
Joined: 12.31.2012

Jun 11 @ 11:18 AM ET
Except that's isn't the case. Kari faced more #1 c than Bozak
- burn


Scroll up and look at my comments after disproving that stat.
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:18 AM ET
he can do that at wing as well..
never said bozak is better than kadri.
I'm just saying Bozak is a guy you want to keep as a #3C for crucial faceoffs, and special teams

- MaximusAurelius

The idea that you think Bozak is an asset on the powerplay puzzles me.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:18 AM ET
Kadri's ability to draw penalties is worth 9+ goals

http://www.tsn.ca/drawing...luable-nhl-skill-1.192784

thats worth noting

- senstroll



But think of the face offs.
TonkaPhaneuf
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Where'd canucks fans go? -daeth Too busy with the lotto simulator - seagull
Joined: 11.22.2012

Jun 11 @ 11:18 AM ET
I cant fricken wait to see what our team looks like on opening day. I don't even care if we finish dead last as long as theres some young likeable players finally in the system. I never wanted a summer to blow by so fast before.
jimi james
Location: Somewhere Between
Joined: 07.17.2010

Jun 11 @ 11:20 AM ET
you insulted the guy for bringing up the possibility of Rielly being dealt which was silly.
- DoubleDown

fk off I didnt insult anybody except you...right now
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:21 AM ET
he can do that at wing as well..
never said bozak is better than kadri.
I'm just saying Bozak is a guy you want to keep as a #3C for crucial faceoffs, and special teams

- MaximusAurelius



No he's not. The difference in face offs is far to small to justify him being out on the ice being a drain everywhere else.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:22 AM ET
No he wasn't. What that stat fails to take into account is Kadri padding his opponents stats.
- KesselRules



Yes he was. He was routinely facing the likes of zetterburg while bozak face the 2nd or 3rd guy.
KesselRules
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The Koolaid tells me Marner > Eichel ~ twiztedmike
Joined: 12.31.2012

Jun 11 @ 11:23 AM ET
No he's not. The difference in face offs is far to small to justify him being out on the ice being a drain everywhere else.
- burn


Seriously stop saying this. It's not supported by facts.
KesselRules
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The Koolaid tells me Marner > Eichel ~ twiztedmike
Joined: 12.31.2012

Jun 11 @ 11:23 AM ET
Yes he was. He was routinely facing the likes of zetterburg while bozak face the 2nd or 3rd guy.
- burn


Are you dense?

http://faceoffs.net/player/nazem-kadri
http://faceoffs.net/player/tyler-bozak

Here's stats that ignores Kadri padding his opponents stats and Bozaks decreasing his opponents.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 11 @ 11:24 AM ET
Scroll up and look at my comments after disproving that stat.
- KesselRules



Kari faced top lines more than bozak. Fact.
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