Wanna blog? Start your own hockey blog with My HockeyBuzz. Register for free today!
 
Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Never a Question of Resiliency, Practice Updates
Author Message
hammarby31
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: it's been 84 years, AZ
Joined: 01.02.2007

Apr 21 @ 11:21 AM ET
For the record, you admit you're insane? Bookmarked!
- Flyersgod


just this page? there are literally hundreds is not thousand of pages on this site which would indicate this.
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Apr 21 @ 11:21 AM ET
Get out of here with your advanced mathemagics
- BulliesPhan87

STATS IS NOT MATH AND YOU CAN'T TELL ME OTHERWISE

In stats, you ASSUME the data is normally distributed and you ASSUME your equations are valid and you ASSUME you're going to get a horrendous grade on your exam

In math, you PROVE things. You PROVE why your equations are valid then you use them.

Stats lies to us all.

Calculus is fun. Stats is not.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 21 @ 11:21 AM ET
IMO there is no controversy. If Mason is healthy is plays. But the way Emery has played there is no reason to bring Mason back if he is only 70-80%. Like I said early on this thread no matter who played these 2 games, the series would still be tied at 1.
- Daveflyers36


There's no controversey now. But if they go with Mason and he plays poorly, there will be.
hammarby31
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: it's been 84 years, AZ
Joined: 01.02.2007

Apr 21 @ 11:21 AM ET
So we're on the same page

- steelydan


for the most part, yes.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Apr 21 @ 11:22 AM ET
Here is my prediction with regard to the goaltenders. I highly doubt Mason will be ready to play tomorrow, especially since today is only an optional practice for the players.

Emery goes in game 3. If he plays well and the Flyers win, he will be back in there for game 4. If not, Mason will get the call Friday night.

- PLindbergh31


Oh, you're SO wrong. Even if Emery makes 76 saves in a 7-OT shutout, he doesn't get to play if Mason's healthy because they have a label attached to them. If Emery plays like Patrick Roy, it doesn't matter, because he's "the backup" and that's bad.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Apr 21 @ 11:23 AM ET
STATS IS NOT MATH AND YOU CAN'T TELL ME OTHERWISE

In stats, you ASSUME the data is normally distributed and you ASSUME your equations are valid and you ASSUME you're going to get a horrendous grade on your exam

In math, you PROVE things. You PROVE why your equations are valid then you use them.

Stats lies to us all.

Calculus is fun. Stats is not.

- Giroux_Is_God


Geez, you need to get out more!!
steelydan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philly, PA
Joined: 04.16.2009

Apr 21 @ 11:23 AM ET
Oh, you're SO wrong. Even if Emery makes 76 saves in a 7-OT shutout, he doesn't get to play if Mason's healthy because they have a label attached to them. If Emery plays like Patrick Roy, it doesn't matter, because he's "the backup" and that's bad.
- jmatchett383


LOL, could you BE more drastic?
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Apr 21 @ 11:24 AM ET
Geez, you need to get out more!!
- BiggE

I refuse to be judged

I love calc. Got a 5 on my AP test
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 21 @ 11:24 AM ET
Oh, so if HE plays poorly, he gets to go back in because he's "the starter," but if Emery plays poorly, you don't go with him because he's "the backup." Gotcha. I didn't know they had those labels on their jerseys.
- jmatchett383



If Mason didn't get hurt, and was in net the whole time. And he played poorly in one of the games, would he not be back in net the next game?

Are you disputing that Mason is the clear cut #1, and Emery is the backup?
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Apr 21 @ 11:24 AM ET
Similarly...and I used my statistics class to come to this conclusion:

The probability of success given low standards is significant.

In other words,
P(Success|Low Standards) ~ 1

- Giroux_Is_God


So...stats are math?
BulliesPhan87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the lone wolf of hockeybuzz
Joined: 07.31.2009

Apr 21 @ 11:24 AM ET
Geez, you need to get out more!!
- BiggE

the eyeball test confirms this
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Apr 21 @ 11:25 AM ET
If Mason didn't get hurt, and was in net the whole time. And he played poorly in one of the games, would he not be back in net the next game?

Are you disputing that Mason is the clear cut #1, and Emery is the backup?

- MJL


No, what I AM disputing is that, if Emery is playing well and the team is responding positively to it, then you run with him. Same way Carolina played better with Ward than Gerber in 2006, despite the "starter" status that Gerber had.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Apr 21 @ 11:25 AM ET
LOL, could you BE more drastic?
- steelydan


Much, much more so, yes.
steelydan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philly, PA
Joined: 04.16.2009

Apr 21 @ 11:26 AM ET
Oh, so if HE plays poorly, he gets to go back in because he's "the starter," but if Emery plays poorly, you don't go with him because he's "the backup." Gotcha. I didn't know they had those labels on their jerseys.
- jmatchett383


These aren't "labels". These are roles that were EARNED over a course of an 82-game season. I love that you just assume that Mason was named starter for some arbitrary reason and therefore can lay claim to the title. No. It's because he out-performed Emery the entire season and was rewarded with a contract. Additionally, he played solid hockey up until his injury. Say what you want, but this is his team to start on. If he's ready to go on Tuesday or Friday, they will gladly slide him in and pull out Emery. And the majority of fans will be happy. Except those who put too much stock in arbitrary labels. They will likely be devastated.
hammarby31
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: it's been 84 years, AZ
Joined: 01.02.2007

Apr 21 @ 11:26 AM ET
I think so also, but I think Mason get's there quicker and gives him more time to adjust to the flutter shot. Can't know for sure obviously, but I think Mason get's that one.
- MJL


he probably does. and like you said, there's no way we'll ever know. i'm speaking from personal experience on the flutter shots. timing, and what you're expecting to happen play a large part.

i play in 2 leagues right now, A and B on back to to back nights. A first, then B. i have a harder time in B, and sometimes give up several more goals because of the pace...everything slows down and sometimes i can't adjust. it's frustrating.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 21 @ 11:27 AM ET
No, what I AM disputing is that, if Emery is playing well and the team is responding positively to it, then you run with him. Same way Carolina played better with Ward than Gerber in 2006, despite the "starter" status that Gerber had.
- jmatchett383



I guess we disagree. If Mason is deemed 100% healthy, he's in the nets in my opinion.
And it's not really the same situation. Gerber was pulled because he wasn't playing well. And they went with Ward. This is clearly a different situation.
BulliesPhan87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the lone wolf of hockeybuzz
Joined: 07.31.2009

Apr 21 @ 11:27 AM ET
Much, much more so, yes.
- jmatchett383

how about less?
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 21 @ 11:28 AM ET
he probably does. and like you said, there's no way we'll ever know. i'm speaking from personal experience on the flutter shots. timing, and what you're expecting to happen play a large part.

i play in 2 leagues right now, A and B on back to to back nights. A first, then B. i have a harder time in B, and sometimes give up several more goals because of the pace...everything slows down and sometimes i can't adjust. it's frustrating.

- hammarby31



There is no doubt that those change of pace shots can be tricky. Seen that happen to a lot of goalies. Emery has done a solid job, and played well.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Apr 21 @ 11:28 AM ET
These aren't "labels". These are roles that were EARNED over a course of an 82-game season. I love that you just assume that Mason was named starter for some arbitrary reason and therefore can lay claim to the title. No. It's because he out-performed Emery the entire season and was rewarded with a contract. Additionally, he played solid hockey up until his injury. Say what you want, but this is his team to start on. If he's ready to go on Tuesday or Friday, they will gladly slide him in and pull out Emery. And the majority of fans will be happy. Except those who put too much stock in arbitrary labels. They will likely be devastated.
- steelydan


Mason was named the starter based on a season of play where he, statistically and on non-statistically, was a better player. That is why he earned the starter status. There was nothing arbitrary about it.

Now that it's the playoff, you have a goalie who just turned in two performances where no goalie would be able (correction: "expected") to win in Game 1, and who basically just stole you a playoff road win. So, I don't care about their roles or titles. He was given a chance, and succeeded, and I'd reward him with another start, regardless of his "role."
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Apr 21 @ 11:29 AM ET
I guess we disagree. If Mason is deemed 100% healthy, he's in the nets in my opinion.
And it's not really the same situation. Gerber was pulled because he wasn't playing well. And they went with Ward. This is clearly a different situation.

- MJL


But you just said that you'd stick with Mason and give him another start even if he didn't play well. So yes, it is the same thing.

If he plays poorly, you come right back with him in the next game.
- MJL
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 21 @ 11:30 AM ET
Mason was named the starter based on a season of play where he, statistically and on non-statistically, was a better player. That is why he earned the starter status. There was nothing arbitrary about it.

Now that it's the playoff, you have a goalie who just turned in two performances where no goalie would be able (correction: "expected") to win in Game 1, and who basically just stole you a playoff road win. So, I don't care about their roles or titles. He was given a chance, and succeeded, and I'd reward him with another start, regardless of his "role."

- jmatchett383



So let's say that Claude Giroux was out injured. And his replacement player played very well in the two games, while Giroux was out, and the Flyers won those games. If Giroux is ready for game 3, would you not put him in the lineup and right back on the top line?
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 21 @ 11:31 AM ET
But you just said that you'd stick with Mason and give him another start even if he didn't play well. So yes, it is the same thing.
- jmatchett383



Yes, I would. One game would not be enough for me to pull the #1 and go with the backup. How many games did Gerber play in the playoffs before being pulled for Ward?
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Apr 21 @ 11:32 AM ET
You know what guys, you're right: we should never, ever reward good play with more playing time based on labels and roles earned over a season. Jason Akeson should not be playing, because he was labelled as an AHLer all season. Steve Downie should be on the third line because that was his position all year.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Apr 21 @ 11:33 AM ET
So let's say that Claude Giroux was out injured. And his replacement player played very well in the two games, while Giroux was out, and the Flyers won those games. If Giroux is ready for game 3, would you not put him in the lineup and right back on the top line?
- MJL


You can put 18 skaters onto your roster, so of course you can. How many goalies can you play at once?
Marc D
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: best smile, 14 without fake tees
Joined: 03.28.2008

Apr 21 @ 11:33 AM ET
that was simply not a penalty. the referee sees contact and calls what he thinks he sees, not what actually happened. absolute (frank)ing horse poop.
- hammarby31

the Grossmann call on Nash was bogus too

Grossmann is entitled to his ice there, just because Nash tried to go through him does not make it interference
Page: Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38  Next