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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings:Four-Goal Second Period Propels Flyers to Playoffs
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PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Apr 9 @ 2:28 PM ET
Last 20 games for Lecavalier. 8 goals, 6 assists for 14 points.

That is scoring at a 33 goal 24 assist pace over an 82 game Season.

- MJL


One of the top 4th line centers in the NHL.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Apr 9 @ 2:34 PM ET
Last 20 games for Lecavalier. 8 goals, 6 assists for 14 points.

That is scoring at a 33 goal 24 assist pace over an 82 game Season.

- MJL


Between 12/30-1/7 Schenn averaged 1.25 points per game. That equates to a 102.5 point season. I'm not sure where he'd get the .5 from, but I think he can get there.
Pixote Andolini
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: South Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 07.23.2007

Apr 9 @ 2:37 PM ET
One of the top 4th line centers in the NHL.
- PLindbergh31

Oh boy.
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Apr 9 @ 2:39 PM ET
So, a question -- and there's no right or wrong answers; just looking for other opinions.

Obviously, no one really wants to play Boston in the first round. So it's pretty understood that you do what you have to do to avoid that.

But if you were running the Flyers, how would you handle the next three games, personnel-wise?

Would you dress your regular lineup for all three games, knowing that injuries happen in professional sports? Or would you give Gus and Gill playing time and rest some combination of Coburn, Timonen, Streit and Grossmann? How would you do that?

Would you rest Giroux or Hartnell or Voracek?

How about Mason? Would he start 1 of the 3, or two of the three? (You assume he won't play both ends of the back-to-back).

Again, no right or wrong answers. Just curious how everyone would approach it, if everyone thinks consistency is best, or avoiding Boston is best, or avoiding injury/resting players is best.

- AllInForFlyers


Just my opinion I wouldn't rest anyone until they are unable to get the # 2 seed in the Division. Being non-competitive at MSG over the last 8 games doesn't bode well if that is where the series starts. The Flyers have beaten the Rags twice in Philly this year. Would feel a lot better about that matchup if the Flyers had home ice.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Apr 9 @ 2:43 PM ET
Just my opinion I wouldn't rest anyone until they are unable to get the # 2 seed in the Division. Being non-competitive at MSG over the last 8 games doesn't bode well if that is where the series starts. The Flyers have beaten the Rags twice in Philly this year. Would feel a lot better about that matchup if the Flyers had home ice.
- PLindbergh31


This
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Apr 9 @ 2:49 PM ET
This
- jmatchett383


I agree. I just don't want to give him any form of satisfaction.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 9 @ 2:51 PM ET
Between 12/30-1/7 Schenn averaged 1.25 points per game. That equates to a 102.5 point season. I'm not sure where he'd get the .5 from, but I think he can get there.
- PhillySportsGuy



Seriously going to compare a 5 game stretch to a 20 game stretch? How about I find Lecavalier's best 5 game stretch and then compare?

Here are some facts. The Lecavalier detractors came up with all kinds of excuses for why Lecavalier isn't a good player, and wasn't a good signing. And came up with all kinds of theories as to why. Such as an unsustainable shooting percentage, etc, etc.

Here's the bottom line. Before the back injury, Lecavalier scored goals at a 33 goal pace, over a 22 game span. He then suffered a significant injury, came back when he still wasn't obviously 100%, combined with being moved to a position that he was not comfortable at, and struggled. He then got stronger and healthier, was moved back to Center, and is again, over the last 20 games, scoring at a 32 goal pace.
So over a combined 42 game span, when healthy and at Center, Lecavalier scored 17 goals. Which is scoring at a 33 goal pace.
So it's pretty clear that Lecavalier is still a very good player, and a good goal scorer in this League. And is not an aging fading player that is no longer effective, that his detractors claimed him to be. That is obvious.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Apr 9 @ 2:58 PM ET
So, a question -- and there's no right or wrong answers; just looking for other opinions.

Obviously, no one really wants to play Boston in the first round. So it's pretty understood that you do what you have to do to avoid that.

But if you were running the Flyers, how would you handle the next three games, personnel-wise?

Would you dress your regular lineup for all three games, knowing that injuries happen in professional sports? Or would you give Gus and Gill playing time and rest some combination of Coburn, Timonen, Streit and Grossmann? How would you do that?

Would you rest Giroux or Hartnell or Voracek?

How about Mason? Would he start 1 of the 3, or two of the three? (You assume he won't play both ends of the back-to-back).

Again, no right or wrong answers. Just curious how everyone would approach it, if everyone thinks consistency is best, or avoiding Boston is best, or avoiding injury/resting players is best.

- AllInForFlyers


I'd start Mason for the next 2 and Emery against Carolina no matter what

I'd probably play my regular lineup for the next 2 as well, however, assuming they are locked into avoiding the Bruins prior to the final game, I would give both Timonen and Grossmann the night off.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Apr 9 @ 2:59 PM ET
Seriously going to compare a 5 game stretch to a 20 game stretch? How about I find Lecavalier's best 5 game stretch and then compare?

Here are some facts. The Lecavalier detractors came up with all kinds of excuses for why Lecavalier isn't a good player, and wasn't a good signing. And came up with all kinds of theories as to why. Such as an unsustainable shooting percentage, etc, etc.

Here's the bottom line. Before the back injury, Lecavalier scored goals at a 33 goal pace, over a 22 game span. He then suffered a significant injury, came back when he still wasn't obviously 100%, combined with being moved to a position that he was not comfortable at, and struggled. He then got stronger and healthier, was moved back to Center, and is again, over the last 20 games, scoring at a 32 goal pace.
So over a combined 42 game span, when healthy and at Center, Lecavalier scored 17 goals. Which is scoring at a 33 goal pace.
So it's pretty clear that Lecavalier is still a very good player, and a good goal scorer in this League. And is not an aging fading player that his detractors claimed him to be. That is obvious.

- MJL


I like how yours are facts and mine are theories.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Apr 9 @ 2:59 PM ET
So, as folks last night on the broadcast were noting, the Flyers hadn't had 7 20-goal scorers since the 1989-90 season.

I looked up that season as I knew it was around the start of the "Dark Times" but I wasn't quite sure.

In short, that entire season was a disaster and was the first year of missing the playoffs for a few years:

http://en.wikipedia.org/w...hiladelphia_Flyers_season

FYI: Coach Paul Holmgren was there for that debacle and Clarkie seemingly traded his way out of a job.

- johndewar


Don't forget it was a different era in 89-90, scoring 20 in that era was about the same as scoring 12-15 today.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 9 @ 3:00 PM ET
I like how yours are facts and mine are theories.
- PhillySportsGuy


Well give me some facts that support your opinion?

What kind of player Lecavalier still is when healthy and playing the right position is obvious.
KINGKENZO
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: OMAR COMIN'..Head or Gut?.....Watching regular white people
Joined: 01.10.2008

Apr 9 @ 3:04 PM ET
http://www.philly.com/phi..._Flyers__answer_on_D.html
FlyersSteve118
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Delco, PA
Joined: 10.02.2013

Apr 9 @ 3:04 PM ET
Well give me some facts that support your opinion?

What kind of player Lecavalier still is when healthy and playing the right position is obvious.

- MJL


All of us Lecavalier critics were wrong, but you still can't just pull a random 20 games that fits your argument out of your ass lol.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 9 @ 3:05 PM ET
http://www.philly.com/philly/sports/flyers/20140410_Union_s_Gostisbehere_could_be_Flyers__answer_on_D.html
- KINGKENZO



What's the question?
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Apr 9 @ 3:06 PM ET
Well give me some facts that support your opinion?
- MJL


Fact: I have advocated moving Vinny to the 4th line and moving him to the top PP unit instead of Voracek.

Fact: Vinny's shooting percentage is the highest its ever been.

Fact: Shooting percentage varies from year to year and has to do with luck. Similar to BABIP in baseball.

Fact: The line of Vinny-Schenn-Simmonds (In any order) has been horrific defensively.

Fact: Every player on the team has worse numbers when they're with Vinny.

Fact: Vinny is a $4.5M player who the Flyers can't find a home for.
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

Apr 9 @ 3:06 PM ET
Thanks for the responses, folks -- appreciate it!
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 9 @ 3:08 PM ET
All of us Lecavalier critics were wrong, but you still can't just pull a random 20 games that fits your argument out of your ass lol.
- FlyersSteve118



They aren't a random 20 games. They are the stretch of games where he has played at Center, and when he was healthy. In fact both the 22 game stretch before the back injury, and the 20 most recent games, are both stretches of games where he was healthy, and played at Center. And both stretches of games support my opinion that it was the back injury and the change in position that rendered Lecavalier ineffective for a stretch. And not that he just wasn't a good player, and it was a bad signing. Nothing random about it.
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Apr 9 @ 3:09 PM ET
All of us Lecavalier critics were wrong, but you still can't just pull a random 20 games that fits your argument out of your ass lol.
- FlyersSteve118


I don't think Lecavalier critics were wrong. He's played better of late, but he's had a below average season at best. Regardless if he's hurt, or playing out of position. Those are excuses, and I would bet if someone asked Lecavalier he would say he's disappointed in the season he had. And wouldn't make an excuse.

Hopefully he continues his improved play in the playoffs, Flyers need him.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 9 @ 3:13 PM ET
Fact: I have advocated moving Vinny to the 4th line and moving him to the top PP unit instead of Voracek.

Fact: Vinny's shooting percentage is the highest its ever been.

Fact: Shooting percentage varies from year to year and has to do with luck. Similar to BABIP in baseball.

Fact: The line of Vinny-Schenn-Simmonds (In any order) has been horrific defensively.

Fact: Every player on the team has worse numbers when they're with Vinny.

Fact: Vinny is a $4.5M player who the Flyers can't find a home for.

- PhillySportsGuy



Lecavalier just scored 20 goals for the 13th time in his career. And has scored over 400 goals in this League. Calling anything about his goal scoring ability, luck, is complete BS.

Even if his shooting percentage went down 3% or so closer to his career norm of 11-12%, he'd still be scoring goals at a significant level.

Lecavalier is not the only player responsible for that line being poor defensively. So that point is moot.

Provide some facts that support that every player on the team has worse numbers wheh they're with Lecavalier. Adam Hall's offensive numbers seem to be rising to me, since playing with Lecavalier. So that fact is obviously false.

Lecavalier seems to be doing just fine centering the 4th line. So saying that the Flyers can't find a home for him, is also false obviously.

Not many facts there, just spin.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Apr 9 @ 3:15 PM ET
I don't think Lecavalier critics were wrong. He's played better of late, but he's had a below average season at best. Regardless if he's hurt, or playing out of position. Those are excuses, and I would bet if someone asked Lecavalier he would say he's disappointed in the season he had. And wouldn't make an excuse.

Hopefully he continues his improved play in the playoffs, Flyers need him.

- PLindbergh31


Thery're not excuses. A back injury is a significant injury. And it clearly effected him.
I bet if Giroux suffered the same injury and it affected his play, the same wouldn't be said.
lecavalier is a stand up guy. He's not going to make excuses. Even if it's true. So that is irelevant.
wolfhounds
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 06.02.2009

Apr 9 @ 3:18 PM ET
I'd start Mason for the next 2 and Emery against Carolina no matter what

I'd probably play my regular lineup for the next 2 as well, however, assuming they are locked into avoiding the Bruins prior to the final game, I would give both Timonen and Grossmann the night off.

- BiggE


And anybody that's banged up and could benefit from a day off.
wolfhounds
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 06.02.2009

Apr 9 @ 3:19 PM ET
Thery're not excuses. A back injury is a significant injury. And it clearly effected him.
I bet if Giroux suffered the same injury and it affected his play, the same wouldn't be said.
lecavalier is a stand up guy. He's not going to make excuses. Even if it's true. So that is irelevant.

- MJL


Fraud Giroux?
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Apr 9 @ 3:19 PM ET
Lecavalier just scored 20 goals for the 13th time in his career. And has scored over 400 goals in this League. Calling anything about his goal scoring ability, luck, is complete BS.

Even if his shooting percentage went down 3% or so closer to his career norm of 11-12%, he'd still be scoring goals at a significant level.

Lecavalier is not the only player responsible for that line being poor defensively. So that point is moot.

Provide some facts that support that every player on the team has worse numbers wheh they're with Lecavalier. Adam Hall's offensive numbers seem to be rising to me, since playing with Lecavalier. So that fact is obviously false.

Lecavalier seems to be doing just fine centering the 4th line. So saying that the Flyers can't find a home for him, is also false obviously.

Not many facts there, just spin.

- MJL


Just curious, but do you think allocating 4.5 million dollars of cap space for a 4th line center who plays on the 2nd pp unit a wise use of cap space?
KINGKENZO
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: OMAR COMIN'..Head or Gut?.....Watching regular white people
Joined: 01.10.2008

Apr 9 @ 3:19 PM ET
What's the question?
- MJL

Who is buried in Grant's Tomb?
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Apr 9 @ 3:20 PM ET
Who is buried in Grant's Tomb?
- KINGKENZO

Lee??
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