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Forums :: Blog World :: John Jaeckel: 2-0-2 On Roadie/My Olympic Medal Picks
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Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Feb 4 @ 9:06 PM ET
Indeed, and for the record....


- Ogilthorpe2


Uhmm..well. I think its best I not comment. Pretty sure Saint knows both. But then, accountants aren't exactly known for their sense of humor.
rollpards19
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Where ever doesn't get me hit, IL
Joined: 05.03.2012

Feb 4 @ 9:07 PM ET
A lot like last year's Hawks eh?
- Ogilthorpe2

No.
Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Feb 4 @ 9:09 PM ET
Indeed, and for the record....


- Ogilthorpe2

Also. I am stuck here in snowmagaddon so please. real vs fake. Yoga pants?
Ogilthorpe2
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: 37,000 FT
Joined: 07.09.2009

Feb 4 @ 9:11 PM ET
No.
- rollpards19

Keep telling yourself that.
StLBravesFan
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 07.03.2011

Feb 4 @ 9:11 PM ET
BTW. Its Qatar.
- Elbows15


So - otherwise I was right?
Ogilthorpe2
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: 37,000 FT
Joined: 07.09.2009

Feb 4 @ 9:12 PM ET
Also. I am stuck here in snowmagaddon so please. real vs fake. Yoga pants?
- Elbows15



They're real...and they're spectacular.
StLBravesFan
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 07.03.2011

Feb 4 @ 9:12 PM ET
A lot like last year's Hawks eh?
- Ogilthorpe2


Exactly.
StLBravesFan
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 07.03.2011

Feb 4 @ 9:13 PM ET
Uhmm..well. I think its best I not comment. Pretty sure Saint knows both. But then, accountants aren't exactly known for their sense of humor.
- Elbows15


I don't see anything funny about ANY of this.
Ogilthorpe2
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: 37,000 FT
Joined: 07.09.2009

Feb 4 @ 9:14 PM ET
Exactly.
- StLBravesFan

Don't tell Pards.
Ogilthorpe2
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: 37,000 FT
Joined: 07.09.2009

Feb 4 @ 9:14 PM ET
I don't see anything funny about ANY of this.
- StLBravesFan

Shocking.
Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Feb 4 @ 9:18 PM ET
So - otherwise I was right?
- StLBravesFan

According to the Beav. No. But he wears sandals, so I wouldn't put too much stock in it.
rollpards19
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Where ever doesn't get me hit, IL
Joined: 05.03.2012

Feb 4 @ 9:20 PM ET
Don't tell Pards.
- Ogilthorpe2

Don't tell me what? But seriously this Colorado is nothing like the Hawks of last year. Avalanche are the second luckiest team in the league this year, Hawks were 10th last year, and well within normal range. Lanche would have been the second luckiest team last year as well. Can't ride high shooting percentages forever
Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Feb 4 @ 9:20 PM ET
No.
- rollpards19

Careful. This may be a trademark infringement.
Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Feb 4 @ 9:22 PM ET
Don't tell me what? But seriously this Colorado is nothing like the Hawks of last year. Avalanche are the second luckiest team in the league this year, Hawks were 10th last year, and well within normal range. Lanche would have been the second luckiest team last year as well. Can't ride high shooting percentages forever
- rollpards19


I get most of the advanced stats jargon. What exactly do they use to determine luckiest team?
Ogilthorpe2
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: 37,000 FT
Joined: 07.09.2009

Feb 4 @ 9:23 PM ET
According to the Beav. No. But he wears sandals, so I wouldn't put too much stock in it.
- Elbows15

Beav's probably too busy hunting chanterelles to correct Stl.
Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Feb 4 @ 9:25 PM ET
Beav's probably too busy hunting chanterelles to correct Stl.
- Ogilthorpe2

Are you laying them in there to get me banned or sumtin'?
Ogilthorpe2
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: 37,000 FT
Joined: 07.09.2009

Feb 4 @ 9:25 PM ET
Careful. This may be a trademark infringement.
- Elbows15

Ogilthorpe2
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: 37,000 FT
Joined: 07.09.2009

Feb 4 @ 9:27 PM ET
Are you laying them in there to get me banned or sumtin'?
- Elbows15

Beav's well documented as being a Mycophile, and I think Chanterelles are in season.
Beaver-Warrior
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: in my great and unmatched wisdom
Joined: 07.28.2011

Feb 4 @ 9:28 PM ET
According to the Beav. No. But he wears sandals, so I wouldn't put too much stock in it.
- Elbows15


Was wearing them again today.
Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Feb 4 @ 9:29 PM ET
Beav's well documented as being a Mycophile, and I think Chanterelles are in season.
- Ogilthorpe2


Hey, Chantarelles are always in...oh, mushrooms.
Beaver-Warrior
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: in my great and unmatched wisdom
Joined: 07.28.2011

Feb 4 @ 9:30 PM ET
Beav's probably too busy hunting chanterelles to correct Stl.
- Ogilthorpe2


Winter chanterelles and hedge hogs are in season.


Edit: I was out splitting firewood.
Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Feb 4 @ 9:30 PM ET
Was wearing them again today.
- Beaver-Warrior

Birkenstocks?
StLBravesFan
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 07.03.2011

Feb 4 @ 9:30 PM ET
Beav's well documented as being a Mycophile, and I think Chanterelles are in season.
- Ogilthorpe2


"Maybe" - 1955.

No, sorry, that was the Chantels.
Beaver-Warrior
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: in my great and unmatched wisdom
Joined: 07.28.2011

Feb 4 @ 9:32 PM ET
Birkenstocks?
- Elbows15


Keens
rollpards19
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Where ever doesn't get me hit, IL
Joined: 05.03.2012

Feb 4 @ 9:32 PM ET
I get most of the advanced stats jargon. What exactly do they use to determine luckiest team?
- Elbows15

A combination of team shooting percentage and team save percentage, it's called PDO. League average is 100, so shoot 10 and save 90. Any team way above or way below is due for a regression to the mean. Obviously more skilled teams like the Hawks and Penguins are going to shoot a higher percentage on average than the Panthers. But pretty much each year it fluctuates, and after 82 games there's rarely any significant outliers, none in the data available that I can find right now. And I get some people will say well that team is good at shooting and good at goaltending, doesn't mean they're getting lucky. But when you look year to year pretty much no team stays consistently high in SV% or SH%, its just there's a lot of randomness and luck to hockey, and while its not fun to chalk things up to luck always, its important I think that its recognized when its happening, and its happening in StL, ANA, and Colorado
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