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Forums :: Blog World :: Matt Henderson: Edmonton Deals Terrible Goalie And Pick For Pieces They Desperately Need
Author Message
moondawg
Vancouver Canucks
Location: The Island, BC
Joined: 02.01.2007

Jan 15 @ 6:57 PM ET
Ive seen almost every game he's played in the NHL. I assure you, he is a terrible goalie.
- Matt_Henderson


And what team has he been playing in front of.
Matt Henderson
Edmonton Oilers
Location: Edmonton, AB
Joined: 09.20.2013

Jan 15 @ 6:58 PM ET
How do you judge failure on a team that struggles defensively?

Look at Toronto, Reimer and Bernier are their best players this year, but their numbers look horrible.

- moondawg


Bernier has a .926 sv% and Reimer is a .918sv%. If Dubnyk had Reimer's numbers the Oilers wouldn't have made any deals today.

Their numbers are not horrible, at all.
Oilers42
Edmonton Oilers
Location: MB
Joined: 06.14.2013

Jan 15 @ 6:58 PM ET
How the hell is it +5 in the middle if January
Ihatebrianburke
Edmonton Oilers
Location: edmonton, AB
Joined: 12.19.2010

Jan 15 @ 6:59 PM ET
Scrivens numbers will get worse playing in Edmonton.

Dubynk's numbers will improve playing in Nashville.

A goalie does rely on the team to play defense in front of him. And their numbers reflect that.

To call Dub a terrible goalie, after what the Oilers have done this year is pretty lame Matt.

- moondawg

And if Luongo let in half the soft goals that Dubnyk has this year you guys would have already lit your city on fire again.
Matt Henderson
Edmonton Oilers
Location: Edmonton, AB
Joined: 09.20.2013

Jan 15 @ 6:59 PM ET
And what team has he been playing in front of.
- moondawg


You know bad teams can still get good goaltending, right?
MaximumBone
Edmonton Oilers
Joined: 06.15.2012

Jan 15 @ 7:00 PM ET
Ive seen almost every game he's played in the NHL. I assure you, he is a terrible goalie.
- Matt_Henderson

His .915 career Sv% in over 100 games (on a borderline AHL team) prior to this season says otherwise.
MaximumBone
Edmonton Oilers
Joined: 06.15.2012

Jan 15 @ 7:01 PM ET
You know bad teams can still get good goaltending, right?
- Matt_Henderson

Yes. This team got that from Dubnyk for 3 years.
moondawg
Vancouver Canucks
Location: The Island, BC
Joined: 02.01.2007

Jan 15 @ 7:01 PM ET
Bernier has a .926 sv% and Reimer is a .918sv%. If Dubnyk had Reimer's numbers the Oilers wouldn't have made any deals today.

Their numbers are not horrible, at all.

- Matt_Henderson


Oh sorry, I look at GAA, as well as SV%. So should you.
Matt Henderson
Edmonton Oilers
Location: Edmonton, AB
Joined: 09.20.2013

Jan 15 @ 7:02 PM ET
Yes. This team got that from Dubnyk for 3 years.
- MaximumBone


But now he's a useless slug and Nashville's problem
Ihatebrianburke
Edmonton Oilers
Location: edmonton, AB
Joined: 12.19.2010

Jan 15 @ 7:03 PM ET
Ive seen almost every game he's played in the NHL. I assure you, he is a terrible goalie.
- Matt_Henderson

E5
Matt Henderson
Edmonton Oilers
Location: Edmonton, AB
Joined: 09.20.2013

Jan 15 @ 7:04 PM ET
Oh sorry, I look at GAA, as well as SV%. So should you.
- moondawg


Oh my god, no. No you should not ever look at GAA and ever think it outweighs sv% at all. Ever. GAA is about how many shots are directed your way. Sv% is about what percentage of shots you actually make. GAA is essentially a team stat and sv% is what the Goalie is doing back there.

Whoever told you to value those two things equally was dead wrong. Stop it.
moondawg
Vancouver Canucks
Location: The Island, BC
Joined: 02.01.2007

Jan 15 @ 7:04 PM ET
I'm not here to fight, I just think Matt's comments about Dub's being horrible is a little unfair.

I like Scrivens, and I think both the deals are good for you guys.

I also think you need to get better defensively, more than just what the goalie does.
moondawg
Vancouver Canucks
Location: The Island, BC
Joined: 02.01.2007

Jan 15 @ 7:05 PM ET
Oh my god, no. No you should not ever look at GAA and ever think it outweighs sv% at all. Ever. GAA is about how many shots are directed your way. Sv% is about what percentage of shots you actually make. GAA is essentially a team stat and sv% is what the Goalie is doing back there.

Whoever told you to value those two things equally was dead wrong. Stop it.

- Matt_Henderson


Fair enough. That team number is important though, isn't it.

You should be trying as a team to keep that number down.
rathagor
Edmonton Oilers
Location: Edmonton, AB
Joined: 07.27.2006

Jan 15 @ 7:06 PM ET
Ive seen almost every game he's played in the NHL. I assure you, he is a terrible goalie.
- Matt_Henderson


Let's be fair he's been a terrible goalie this year. Here's an interesting piece on TSN in the Numbers Game article regarding the trades:

"From 2010-2011 through 2012-2013, Dubnyk had a .917 save percentage. Among goaltenders with at least 100 games in that span, that placed Dubnyk 12th, in the same territory as Sergei Bobrovsky, Kari Lehtonen and Carey Price; pretty good company."
fsanford
Joined: 10.28.2009

Jan 15 @ 7:06 PM ET
For many clubs it would have been a bad deal, given that they have not been drafting top end of every round for like 4 or 5 years. For the Oilers it made sense.

Still wonder if this season, part of his success was due to the Kings system and being coached by one of the very best goalie coaches in all of the NHL. None better than Bill.

Quick, Bernier, Scrivens comes in and does well. Jones come ups and records 3 shut outs in like 8 games, tags the Ducks with 1 of 2 non regulation losses at home winning a 9 round shoot out not giving up a goal.

Hope Scrivens succeeds seems like a great guy.

As they do in all arena's they put up video and ask players to name that song or caption this picture usually of another player. Scrivens was by far one of the funniest guys to comment. His tweets are great. In the short time he was here, Kings fans really enjoyed him.
Ihatebrianburke
Edmonton Oilers
Location: edmonton, AB
Joined: 12.19.2010

Jan 15 @ 7:06 PM ET
Bo has been confirmed to have been coming over, but Slappy's future is still in question.
- MaximumBone

I'd love if we found a way to bring both over but either way neither one will be in the NHL next year.
HB77
Edmonton Oilers
Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid
Joined: 02.20.2007

Jan 15 @ 7:08 PM ET
I'm not here to fight, I just think Matt's comments about Dub's being horrible is a little unfair.

I like Scrivens, and I think both the deals are good for you guys.

I also think you need to get better defensively, more than just what the goalie does.

- moondawg

agreed


dubs had some solid numbers behind a horrific defence allowing a fukload of quality shots last year. was like middle of the pack last year.
struggled mightily early this year which magnified the losses later on when he began playing a little better.

i dont think he's a horrificly bad goalie.
hopefully he can put it together in nashville
moondawg
Vancouver Canucks
Location: The Island, BC
Joined: 02.01.2007

Jan 15 @ 7:11 PM ET
So, any off season targets for UFA dmen?

Player Pos Age Team Cap Hit
Dan Boyle D 37 Sharks $6,666,667
Dion Phaneuf D 28 Maple Leafs $6,500,000
Kimmo Timonen D 38 Flyers $6,000,000
Andrei Markov D 34 Canadiens $5,750,000
Joni Pitkanen D 30 Hurricanes $4,500,000
Andrej Meszaros D 27 Flyers $4,000,000
Marek Zidlicky D 36 Devils $4,000,000
Kyle Quincey D 28 Red Wings $3,775,000
Sami Salo D 39 Lightning $3,750,000
Brooks Orpik D 33 Penguins $3,750,000
Nick Schultz D 31 Oilers $3,500,000
Willie Mitchell D 36 Kings $3,500,000
Henrik Tallinder D 34 Sabres $3,375,000
Dan Girardi D 29 Rangers $3,325,000
Stephane Robidas D 36 Stars $3,300,000
Jonathan Ericsson D 29 Red Wings $3,250,000
Chris Phillips D 35 Senators $3,083,333
Rostislav Klesla D 31 Coyotes $2,975,000
Matt Greene D 30 Kings $2,950,000
Derek Morris D 35 Coyotes $2,750,000
Matt Niskanen D 26 Penguins $2,300,000

That list is lousy, not many great pieces there.
Matt Henderson
Edmonton Oilers
Location: Edmonton, AB
Joined: 09.20.2013

Jan 15 @ 7:11 PM ET
Fair enough. That team number is important though, isn't it.

You should be trying as a team to keep that number down.

- moondawg


Oh yeah. Even if his sv% remains the same in Edmonton then his GAA is going to balloon, because Oilers.
Ihatebrianburke
Edmonton Oilers
Location: edmonton, AB
Joined: 12.19.2010

Jan 15 @ 7:14 PM ET
So, any off season targets for UFA dmen?
- moondawg

Girardi, Niskanen, Nikitin off the top of my head
deks1
Edmonton Oilers
Joined: 02.13.2012

Jan 15 @ 7:14 PM ET
rumored scrivens can command around the $2.5m per being ufa in the off season.
HB77
Edmonton Oilers
Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid
Joined: 02.20.2007

Jan 15 @ 7:16 PM ET
So, any off season targets for UFA dmen?
- moondawg

girardi, boyle, nikitin, niskanen, markov

be lucky to get one of em
ystoil
Edmonton Oilers
Location: Edmonton
Joined: 02.26.2011

Jan 15 @ 7:17 PM ET
agreed


dubs had some solid numbers behind a horrific defence allowing a fukload of quality shots last year. was like middle of the pack last year.
struggled mightily early this year which magnified the losses later on when he began playing a little better.

i dont think he's a horrificly bad goalie.
hopefully he can put it together in nashville

- hugefemale dog77


With dubnyk you know two things night in and night out

1)he will make a majority of saves, even an occasional outstanding one. I think he's a consistent 0.910% goalie which is decent. That first stretch of games were bad.

2) he's going to let in a back breaking weak one

It's number 2 that drove him out of town. He will be a good backup for Nashville just not a guy you want as your playoff goalie.
moondawg
Vancouver Canucks
Location: The Island, BC
Joined: 02.01.2007

Jan 15 @ 7:17 PM ET
Girardi, Niskanen, Nikitin off the top of my head
- Ihatebrianburke


I like Matt Greene and Mitchell from LA. Older, but good stay at home guys. And yeah, Girardi is good.

Timonen and Mezjaros in Philli are pretty decent too.
Ihatebrianburke
Edmonton Oilers
Location: edmonton, AB
Joined: 12.19.2010

Jan 15 @ 7:18 PM ET
rumored scrivens can command around the $2.5m per being ufa in the off season.
- deks1

Done deal. I'd do that for 2-3 years
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