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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Rinaldo, Simmonds, Quick Hits
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MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:06 PM ET
I still would much prefer to give his roster spot to a guy who can retain possession of the puck or at least be a gem defensively, but I understand the economics of the game don't allow for that always.

The low Corsi + high # of hits = a very poor player for generating offense. But at least he's improving and cost-effective.

- bradleyc4



I don't think it's neccessary for a 4th line player to generate offense. First of all, he's just not on the ice long enough to generate offense. What you need from a 4th line is to play physical, play well defensively, and provide energy and a spark. If your 4th line comes out even, and plays physical, then they've done their job. This is another situation where Advanced stats misses the boat, and doesn't fit in looking at certain type of players.
bradleyc4
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the jewelry is still out
Joined: 01.16.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:07 PM ET
I think his intangibles make him an important player for this team.
- jak521


Ah yes, the mythical "intangibles".

What's more effective? His hits that sometimes cross the line that ignites the other team to target our star players for retribution, or his Twitter presence?
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:08 PM ET
Ah yes, the mythical "intangibles".

What's more effective? His hits that sometimes cross the line that ignites the other team to target our star players for retribution, or his Twitter presence?

- bradleyc4



His hits are far more beneficial to the Flyers then they are to the opposition. Don't really see what Twitter has to do with it. And intangibles certainly aren't mythical.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 26 @ 1:08 PM ET
I really think if Rinaldo ever wants to be trusted with PK time. Then he drastically needs to improve his play away from the puck in his ES icetime on the 4th line. If he shows a quality defensive game there, maybe he will be given the chance. Part of the problem is the type of play that makes him effective at ES play, would make him ineffective on the PK.
- MJL


They could also give him a look in the preseason if he's playing in a game where the "regulars" (Giroux, Hall, Talbot) don't dress.
bradleyc4
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the jewelry is still out
Joined: 01.16.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:08 PM ET
I don't think it's neccessary for a 4th line player to generate offense. First of all, he's just not on the ice long enough to generate offense. What you need from a 4th line is to play physical, play well defensively, and provide energy and a spark. If your 4th line comes out even, and plays physical, then they've done their job. This is another situation where Advanced stats misses the boat, and doesn't fit in looking at certain type of players.
- MJL


If your opponent is drastically out-shooting your team when you're on the ice, you're not doing your job. It's luck if they come out even.
bradleyc4
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the jewelry is still out
Joined: 01.16.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:09 PM ET
His hits are far more beneficial to the Flyers then they are to the opposition. Don't really see what Twitter has to do with it. And intangibles certainly aren't mythical.
- MJL


All hitting means is that the other team has the puck and you don't. That's not a positive thing.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 26 @ 1:11 PM ET
All hitting means is that the other team has the puck and you don't. That's not a positive thing.
- bradleyc4


So, hitting is a bad thing?
bradleyc4
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the jewelry is still out
Joined: 01.16.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:13 PM ET
So, hitting is bad?
- jmatchett383


Basically, yes. There's a time and place for it, but being among the league leaders in hits is not a good thing.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:13 PM ET
If your opponent is drastically out-shooting your team when you're on the ice, you're not doing your job. It's luck if they come out even.
- bradleyc4



Not discussing the team as a whole in that post. I'm discussing Rinaldo in that post. Using Corsi to look at a player like Rinaldo's effectiveness, is non-sensical. It's not what he's there for. He's genrally not playing in offensive situations, or with other players who generate offense and shots on net. It's another situation where advanced stats are misused.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 26 @ 1:14 PM ET
Basically, yes. There's a time and place for it, but being among the league leaders in hits is not a good thing.
- bradleyc4



The 2 most famous shifts in Flyers' history (Richards in 2010 ECG Game 5 and Giroux 2012 Game 6) both began with hits. But what you're saying is that it's bad that the both had to throw hits?
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:14 PM ET
Basically, yes. There's a time and place for it, but being among the league leaders in hits is not a good thing.
- bradleyc4



I'd really be interested in hearing about this in detail.
bradleyc4
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the jewelry is still out
Joined: 01.16.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:14 PM ET
Not discussing the team as a whole in that post. I'm discussing Rinaldo in that post. Using Corsi to look at a player like Rinaldo's effectiveness, is non-sensical. It's not what he's there for. He's genrally not playing in offensive situations, or with other players who generate offense and shots on net. It's another situation where advanced stats are misused.
- MJL


No, it's another place where you're not understanding the stat or its context.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:15 PM ET
All hitting means is that the other team has the puck and you don't. That's not a positive thing.
- bradleyc4



Flawed thinking there. When the other team has the puck, hitting is one way to get it back. I see a fog here created by the overuse of Advanced stats.
bradleyc4
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the jewelry is still out
Joined: 01.16.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:15 PM ET
The 2 most famous shifts in Flyers' history (Richards in 2010 ECG Game 5 and Giroux 2012 Game 6) both began with hits. But what you're saying is that it's bad that the both had to throw hits?
- jmatchett383


There's a time and place for them, like I mentioned in my previous comment to you. I'm saying that if "hits" is one of your best traits, you're not a very good NHL player.
jak521
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Buckle Up.
Joined: 02.19.2008

Aug 26 @ 1:16 PM ET
Ah yes, the mythical "intangibles".

What's more effective? His hits that sometimes cross the line that ignites the other team to target our star players for retribution, or his Twitter presence?

- bradleyc4

The first process in understanding the "mythical" intangibles is checking your bias at the door.

I understand your analytics haven't been developed in a way to accurately grade things like "momentum swings" or the affect that a player has against opposing teams by "getting them off their games".

How often have other teams targeted Giroux as a result of a Rinaldo hit? Thats a pretty interesting claim.

MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:16 PM ET
No, it's another place where you're not understanding the stat or its context.
- bradleyc4



I understand it completely. It's the flaw of the stat that is the issue. And how some see it as the "Holy Grail" of the sport. And can't see the forest through the trees.
bradleyc4
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the jewelry is still out
Joined: 01.16.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:16 PM ET
Flawed thinking there. When the other team has the puck, hitting is one way to get it back. I see a fog here created by the overuse of Advanced stats.
- MJL


It's not working for Rinaldo.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 26 @ 1:17 PM ET
There's a time and place for them, like I mentioned in my previous comment to you. I'm saying that if "hits" is one of your best traits, you're not a very good NHL player.
- bradleyc4


One of Eric Lindros' best traits (possibly his biggest) was his amount and impact of hits. Guess he wasn't a very good NHL player.
bradleyc4
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the jewelry is still out
Joined: 01.16.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:17 PM ET
I understand it completely. It's the flaw of the stat that is the issue. And how some see it as the "Holy Grail" of the sport. And can't see the forest through the trees.
- MJL


And your flaw is that you think anyone who quotes an "advanced stat" (which is a misnomer), that it's the only angle they're looking at.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 26 @ 1:18 PM ET
It's not working for Rinaldo.
- bradleyc4


Actually, it is. He's hated by the rest of the league, and he's drawing more power plays than he takes. I like that.
bradleyc4
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the jewelry is still out
Joined: 01.16.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:18 PM ET
One of Eric Lindros' best traits (possibly his biggest) was his amount and impact of hits. Guess he wasn't a very good NHL player.
- jmatchett383


Good call.
bradleyc4
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the jewelry is still out
Joined: 01.16.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:19 PM ET
Actually, it is. He's hated by the rest of the league, and he's drawing more power plays than he takes. I like that.
- jmatchett383


Well enjoy your HITS ! They're AWESOME !
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:19 PM ET
There's a time and place for them, like I mentioned in my previous comment to you. I'm saying that if "hits" is one of your best traits, you're not a very good NHL player.
- bradleyc4


Not true at all. Another myth created by Advanced stats. Some players are role players. And have a certain skill set that makes them effective. If what you're saying is true, then players like Rinaldo would have no place in the NHL. When clearly they do. Just shut off the TV and just look at the advanced stats. Don't even watch the game and see what happens. That's part of the culture that advanced stats has created.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 26 @ 1:19 PM ET
The first process in understanding the "mythical" intangibles is checking your bias at the door.

I understand your analytics haven't been developed in a way to accurately grade things like "momentum swings" or the affect that a player has against opposing teams by "getting them off their games".

How often have other teams targeted Giroux as a result of a Rinaldo hit? Thats a pretty interesting claim.

- jak521


Doesn't matter anyway, since we've got a Jake Voracek in our lineup.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 26 @ 1:19 PM ET
Well enjoy your HITS ! They're AWESOME !
- bradleyc4


Yes. That's what we're saying.
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