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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Flyers Free Agency Friday: Fireworks or Dud?
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section32
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Raleigh, NC
Joined: 02.15.2007

Jul 5 @ 8:48 AM ET
Won't get it done IMO
- Just5

Youza...so B. Schenn instead of Read?
phillydentist
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 02.20.2013

Jul 5 @ 8:49 AM ET
What's not being taken into account here, is the salary escalation that is going to happen. 7-8 years from now, an 8M salary will be like 4M today.
- MJL


That's not true. When Vinny signed his extension a decade ago for 7.8/yr avg, that was the going rate for a top tier forward. The going rate hasn't changed much since then.

10 years ago, the national debt was 5 trillion. Today it is 17 trillion. 10 years from now it will likely be 30 trillion. The US economy won't likely get any better just because time passes by. Things could get worse.
Flyers1218
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: New York, NY
Joined: 06.28.2007

Jul 5 @ 8:50 AM ET
If Emery is indeed the choice, what happens if Mason reverts back to Columbus form, and Emery's hip doesn't allow him to handle being a full time starter.
- PLindbergh31

Exactly, I don't think Emery should be their choice. I like Halak, but as MJL and Jsaq pointed out he has a long medical list. And while I think Thomas would be the best to get, his ego will have him demanding big dollars. Don't know what they will do.
jak521
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Buckle Up.
Joined: 02.19.2008

Jul 5 @ 8:53 AM ET
That's not true. When Vinny signed his extension a decade ago for 7.8/yr avg, that was the going rate for a top tier forward. The going rate hasn't changed much since then.

10 years ago, the national debt was 5 trillion. Today it is 17 trillion. 10 years from now it will likely be 30 trillion. The US economy won't likely get any better just because time passes by. Things could get worse.

- phillydentist

The problem with you theory is that NHL revenue and US Economy are not, and have not been directly proportional.

Yea, the economy has been pretty poopty, yet the NHL continues to produce records in total revenue.
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Jul 5 @ 8:54 AM ET
Exactly, I don't think Emery should be their choice. I like Halak, but as MJL and Jsaq pointed out he has a long medical list. And while I think Thomas would be the best to get, his ego will have him demanding big dollars. Don't know what they will do.
- Flyers1218


The problem is, there is no clear cut solutions. Unfortunately the Flyers are painted into a corner with the goaltending situation. I think the best hope is that Mason finds his game. He's got the size, quickness, and has very good puck handling ability. I believe the problem is between his ears.... Which could be more problematic than mechanical issues. I think we would all agree that Philly isn't the best place to try and iron out mental issues between the pipes.

Very small sample size, but hard not to like what Mason showed in the games he played.
phillydentist
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 02.20.2013

Jul 5 @ 8:55 AM ET
There is no such thing as being too deep down the middle. It is a very important position on the ice.
- MJL


Hall should've been signed instead of Rosehill. Rosehill is the contract that is unnecessary and excessive. The timing of Hall's signing though might be a hint that some center(s) might be leaving in a trade. I just hope Holmgren doesn't get taken in any trades this offseason. He's done well so far on the whole.
jak521
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Buckle Up.
Joined: 02.19.2008

Jul 5 @ 8:55 AM ET
A question to everyone (Bill you too)...

The Adam Hall signing, to me, is a great signing. It does present a log jam at center. Everyone seems to think that Laughon wont be up with the club this year, but what if he isnt the one that wont be wear a Flyers uni....

What are the odds that we move Couts in a trade for a d-man, and slide Laughton in at 3rd line C? Not that I am pushing for it, but I could just see something like this actually happening...
nonpoint22
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 02.16.2011

Jul 5 @ 8:56 AM ET
The problem is, there is no clear cut solutions. Unfortunately the Flyers are painted into a corner with the goaltending situation. I think the best hope is that Mason finds his game. He's got the size, quickness, and has very good puck handling ability. I believe the problem is between his ears.... Which could be more problematic than mechanical issues. I think we would all agree that Philly isn't the best place to try and iron out mental issues between the pipes.

Very small sample size, but hard not to like what Mason showed in the games he played.

- PLindbergh31


another reaso i like emery coming back.....he has first hand experience here and could help mason with that
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 5 @ 8:56 AM ET
That's not true. When Vinny signed his extension a decade ago for 7.8/yr avg, that was the going rate for a top tier forward. The going rate hasn't changed much since then.

10 years ago, the national debt was 5 trillion. Today it is 17 trillion. 10 years from now it will likely be 30 trillion. The US economy won't likely get any better just because time passes by. Things could get worse.

- phillydentist



Sure it's true. Salaries have always escalated, and continue to escalate. If Giroux were allowed to go into an off season as a Free Agent, what do you think it would cost them.

And the problem is as always, that some look at cap hits, not salaries. Cap hits were kept lower for top player due to the back diving deals that are no longer allowed. Look at the top Free Agents that signed last year. Remove the two or 3 low years on the back end, and see what their cap hits would be. That is going to continue to escalate.

Take Parise for instance. If you remove the last 3 low years of his deal designed to lower the Cap hit. His Cap hit is 9.4M.
phillydentist
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 02.20.2013

Jul 5 @ 8:57 AM ET
Yea, the economy has been pretty poopty, yet the NHL continues to produce records in total revenue.
- jak521


I don't know about the records in total revenue. All I know is that hasn't translated into an increase for top tier players in the last decade. And it is wrong to assume the next decade will be any different.
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Jul 5 @ 8:57 AM ET
another reaso i like emery coming back.....he has first hand experience here and could help mason with that
- nonpoint22


I agree. My only issue with Emery is if Mason does falter, can Emery handle a full work load with his hip condition.
nonpoint22
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 02.16.2011

Jul 5 @ 8:57 AM ET
A question to everyone (Bill you too)...

The Adam Hall signing, to me, is a great signing. It does present a log jam at center. Everyone seems to think that Laughon wont be up with the club this year, but what if he isnt the one that wont be wear a Flyers uni....

What are the odds that we move Couts in a trade for a d-man, and slide Laughton in at 3rd line C? Not that I am pushing for it, but I could just see something like this actually happening...

- jak521


me too.....i have been saying this since vinny signed
nonpoint22
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 02.16.2011

Jul 5 @ 8:59 AM ET
I agree. My only issue with Emery is if Mason does falter, can Emery handle a full work load with his hip condition.
- PLindbergh31


its a good question....from reports emery thinks he can which is why he is leaving chicago....a bigger role
phillydentist
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 02.20.2013

Jul 5 @ 8:59 AM ET
Sure it's true. Salaries have always escalated, and continue to escalate. If Giroux were allowed to go into an off season as a Free Agent, what do you think it would cost them.

And the problem is as always, that some look at cap hits, not salaries. Cap hits were kept lower for top player due to the back diving deals that are no longer allowed. Look at the top Free Agents that signed last year. Remove the two or 3 low years on the back end, and see what their cap hits would be. That is going to continue to escalate.

- MJL


Salaries for top players have not escalated in the past decade. Compare Vinny's last big contract from 10 years ago to those of Suter/Parise/Giroux. They are very similar.
section32
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Raleigh, NC
Joined: 02.15.2007

Jul 5 @ 8:59 AM ET
A question to everyone (Bill you too)...

The Adam Hall signing, to me, is a great signing. It does present a log jam at center. Everyone seems to think that Laughon wont be up with the club this year, but what if he isnt the one that wont be wear a Flyers uni....

What are the odds that we move Couts in a trade for a d-man, and slide Laughton in at 3rd line C? Not that I am pushing for it, but I could just see something like this actually happening...

- jak521

I don't know whether I am fearful of that or excited about it. Time will tell I suppose.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 5 @ 9:00 AM ET
Hall should've been signed instead of Rosehill. Rosehill is the contract that is unnecessary and excessive. The timing of Hall's signing though might be a hint that some center(s) might be leaving in a trade. I just hope Holmgren doesn't get taken in any trades this offseason. He's done well so far on the whole.
- phillydentist



Rosehill can be removed at any time from the Flyers Cap.
stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 5 @ 9:00 AM ET
The problem is, there is no clear cut solutions. Unfortunately the Flyers are painted into a corner with the goaltending situation. I think the best hope is that Mason finds his game. He's got the size, quickness, and has very good puck handling ability. I believe the problem is between his ears.... Which could be more problematic than mechanical issues. I think we would all agree that Philly isn't the best place to try and iron out mental issues between the pipes.

Very small sample size, but hard not to like what Mason showed in the games he played.

- PLindbergh31


No reason you cant get the same production that Bryz gave you. Odds are it could be better with the goalie situation.
jak521
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Buckle Up.
Joined: 02.19.2008

Jul 5 @ 9:00 AM ET
The problem is, there is no clear cut solutions. Unfortunately the Flyers are painted into a corner with the goaltending situation. I think the best hope is that Mason finds his game. He's got the size, quickness, and has very good puck handling ability. I believe the problem is between his ears.... Which could be more problematic than mechanical issues. I think we would all agree that Philly isn't the best place to try and iron out mental issues between the pipes.

Very small sample size, but hard not to like what Mason showed in the games he played.

- PLindbergh31

Here is my thing with Mason. Sometimes people dont like to be in the spotlight. They dont like added pressure, and they do terrible when they are the central figure.


And sometimes its the exact opposite. Look at Mason his rookie year... coming into a new city, playing under the spot light. Calder Trophy. Look at Mason in his WJC games.. outstanding. Maybe playing in a city that loves hockey, and being the central figure is exactly what a person like Steve Mason needs to succeed. Maybe he wasnt able to get into games in CBJ... I dont know. What I do know is that he was outstanding in his small showing here last season.

Crossing my fingers....
phillydentist
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 02.20.2013

Jul 5 @ 9:00 AM ET
I agree. My only issue with Emery is if Mason does falter, can Emery handle a full work load with his hip condition.
- PLindbergh31


Mason/Emery won't be any worse than Bryz/Leighton/Boucher.

MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 5 @ 9:00 AM ET
Salaries for top players have not escalated in the past decade. Compare Vinny's last big contract from 10 years ago to those of Suter/Parise/Giroux. They are very similar.
- phillydentist



Really, might want to take another look at that.

I added to my post above on Parise.
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Jul 5 @ 9:01 AM ET
A question to everyone (Bill you too)...

The Adam Hall signing, to me, is a great signing. It does present a log jam at center. Everyone seems to think that Laughon wont be up with the club this year, but what if he isnt the one that wont be wear a Flyers uni....

What are the odds that we move Couts in a trade for a d-man, and slide Laughton in at 3rd line C? Not that I am pushing for it, but I could just see something like this actually happening...

- jak521


I think trading Couturier would be a mistake. While I'm not ready to proclaim him a future Selke winner, I do think a consistent 20 goal scorer and a very solid defensive game is pretty much a certainty with him. Think J. Staal light.

My concern is since Couturier currently has a very small cap hit, if the Flyers do trade him how do they get equal value? I suppose they could package Coburn with him.
stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 5 @ 9:01 AM ET
I agree. My only issue with Emery is if Mason does falter, can Emery handle a full work load with his hip condition.
- PLindbergh31


He did this year. He carried the load for awhile with Crawford out I believe.
jak521
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Buckle Up.
Joined: 02.19.2008

Jul 5 @ 9:01 AM ET
I don't know whether I am fearful of that or excited about it. Time will tell I suppose.
- section32

I am the same exact way.. As soon as I read about Hall, I thought about Couts. Everyone else at the party was talking about Laughton going back...
phillydentist
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 02.20.2013

Jul 5 @ 9:01 AM ET
Rosehill can be removed at any time from the Flyers Cap.
- MJL


Right but Rosehill's contract still counts toward the 50 limit. Just unnecessary when you can call up a goon from the AHL.
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Jul 5 @ 9:02 AM ET
Mason/Emery won't be any worse than Bryz/Leighton/Boucher.
- phillydentist


I know. But the idea isn't for it to be worse. It's to improve.
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