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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Leafs Draft Day Had Central Theme
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matt1337
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: 925K. Talented player. (Lehtonen) Santo_44, ON
Joined: 09.28.2010

Jul 1 @ 8:53 PM ET
Perfect Kadri with Kessel
Grabo with JVR and Clarkson crashing the net for rebounds

- jribout


as long as o'byrne is playing d, then we are fine. kessel hasn't been scored on even strength when o'byrne is play d, coincidence? i think not

edit: sorry, make that a lashoff and o'byrne pairing. 0 GA per 20 while playing with kessel. it will be the ultimate shut down pairing guys
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jul 1 @ 8:54 PM ET
Damn, I thought I read 2010 from you. My bad.

From 2011 to 2013 lol

http://stats.hockeyanalys...ue&season=2011-13&sit=5v5

With Bozak

GF per 20: 0.947
GA per 20: 0.974

Without Bozak

GF per 20: 1.253
GA per 20: 1.097

From 2012 to 2013

http://stats.hockeyanalys...ue&season=2012-13&sit=5v5

With Bozak

GF per 20: 0.972
GA per 20: 0.907

Without Bozak

GF per 20: 1.397
GA per 20: 0.776

Same results every timeframe.

- daeth



So in career year he scored more without bozak what's worse is this past year his ga got better without bozak.


No way to spin that one.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jul 1 @ 8:55 PM ET
Daeth, that's the most compelling, logical post in this thread, and if people try to ignore those facts, they're either really stubborn, or incapable.

The myth of Tyler Bozak and Phil Kessel's chemistry indeed!

- mykokes



Indeed.
matt1337
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: 925K. Talented player. (Lehtonen) Santo_44, ON
Joined: 09.28.2010

Jul 1 @ 8:55 PM ET
So in career year he scored more without bozak what's worse is this past year his ga got better without bozak.


No way to spin that one.

- burn


must be because we had o'byrne. guy is a stud defensively when kessel is playing. 0 GA per 20 when both are on the ice
Leafland
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: MATTHEW 20:16 "So the last will be first, and the first will be last.", ON
Joined: 10.25.2011

Jul 1 @ 8:56 PM ET
Those are all even strength numbers.

And yeah, the other samples are small.

Kessel from 2012 to 2013

617:29 with Bozak recorded in those stats. 128:48 without.

- daeth

That alone skews the values wouldn't it? Who knows what happens when they'd even out. 1.2s aren't far off from .9s.
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jul 1 @ 8:56 PM ET
must be because we had o'byrne. guy is a stud defensively when kessel is playing. 0 GA per 20 when both are on the ice
- matt1337

Norris! Give that man a raise!
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jul 1 @ 8:58 PM ET
That alone skews the values wouldn't it? Who knows what happens when they'd even out. 1.2s aren't far off from .9s.
- Leafland

It certainly makes the stats less meaningful, but at the same time it's still the best way to tell if Kessel is better with or without Bozak via stats that I know of at the moment without coming up with some crazy formula.

The fact that year to year we're getting similar results helps though.
matt1337
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: 925K. Talented player. (Lehtonen) Santo_44, ON
Joined: 09.28.2010

Jul 1 @ 8:58 PM ET
Norris! Give that man a raise!
- daeth


if they don't resign o'byrne i will start a riot
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jul 1 @ 8:59 PM ET
bahahahah, then I will apologize to HH. But you've put in the work, presented your facts. Best way to check is ask Yost.
- mykokes

CORSI!

jribout
Season Ticket Holder
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 01.24.2011

Jul 1 @ 9:00 PM ET
must be because we had o'byrne. guy is a stud defensively when kessel is playing. 0 GA per 20 when both are on the ice
- matt1337



Little pissed your cabana boy Bozak's aura has been shown to be fake are we?
orienbrady22
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Windsor, ON
Joined: 02.14.2013

Jul 1 @ 9:00 PM ET
That alone skews the values wouldn't it? Who knows what happens when they'd even out. 1.2s aren't far off from .9s.
- Leafland


Who knows.... they could skew the values in favour of making Bozak look better than he really is as well. One would think if Kessel was given more of a chance to play with Grabo or Kadri, that they would get better the more they played together..
PrinceLH
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Belleville, ON
Joined: 07.06.2007

Jul 1 @ 9:01 PM ET
Yes sir! Bozak did a decent job but we are better off with Kadri#1, Grabbo#2, Bolland #3
I'm just thinking if kessel made Bozak into a 5 mil a year player, what will he do for Kadri

- coolehmon41


We need to keep Kadri in the two hole and bring in a Lecavelier type player. If we get Kessel a first line center, he might be inclined to re-sign here, next year. Add Lecavalier, add a top 4 defenseman and David Clarkson and we may be in line to win a series or two.
matt1337
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: 925K. Talented player. (Lehtonen) Santo_44, ON
Joined: 09.28.2010

Jul 1 @ 9:03 PM ET
Little pissed your cabana boy Bozak's aura has been shown to be fake are we?
- jribout


i'm all for replacing bozak, just want someone who is also defensively responsible
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jul 1 @ 9:06 PM ET
Who knows.... they could skew the values in favour of making Bozak look better than he really is as well. One would think if Kessel was given more of a chance to play with Grabo or Kadri, that they would get better the more they played together..
- orienbrady22

The problem with the stats I've been posting is we don't know the context of those minutes. Maybe Kessel gets those minutes away from Bozak when he's double shifted and they are easier minutes (ie not vs a shutdown pair) than the minutes he plays with Bozak. The stats don't show that kind of stuff so we can't know for sure. They are pretty darn consistent year to year though.
Leafland
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: MATTHEW 20:16 "So the last will be first, and the first will be last.", ON
Joined: 10.25.2011

Jul 1 @ 9:10 PM ET
The problem with the stats I've been posting is we don't know the context of those minutes. Maybe Kessel gets those minutes away from Bozak when he's double shifted and they are easier minutes (ie not vs a shutdown pair) than the minutes he plays with Bozak. The stats don't show that kind of stuff so we can't know for sure. They are pretty darn consistent year to year though.
- daeth

Well, a good chunck of the minutes without Bozak this year, would be when he missed the last two games because of his "upper body injury".

Florida and Montreal. Kessel recorded 3goals and was an even +/-.
matt1337
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: 925K. Talented player. (Lehtonen) Santo_44, ON
Joined: 09.28.2010

Jul 1 @ 9:13 PM ET
The problem with the stats I've been posting is we don't know the context of those minutes. Maybe Kessel gets those minutes away from Bozak when he's double shifted and they are easier minutes (ie not vs a shutdown pair) than the minutes he plays with Bozak. The stats don't show that kind of stuff so we can't know for sure. They are pretty darn consistent year to year though.
- daeth


exactly, and kadri isnt ready to be our #1, and we all know how grabo plays, i dont think him and kessel would mesh well on a line. i'm also not open to putting bolland there (similar to bozak, one could argue he has a greater offensive potential) but we need someone else to replace bozak then those 3
orienbrady22
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Windsor, ON
Joined: 02.14.2013

Jul 1 @ 9:14 PM ET
exactly, and kadri isnt ready to be our #1, and we all know how grabo plays, i dont think him and kessel would mesh well on a line. i'm also not open to putting bolland there (similar to bozak, one could argue he has a greater offensive potential) but we need someone else to replace bozak then those 3
- matt1337


Why isnt kadri ready to be a #1 center?
iTOLDu
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: MI
Joined: 10.26.2011

Jul 1 @ 9:15 PM ET
Kessel's on-ice goals for and against avg numbers since 2009 are better without Bozak than they are with him. Bozak's defensive abilities are grossly overrated.

http://stats.hockeyanalys...ue&season=2009-13&sit=5v5

Kessel since 2009 with Bozak (on-ice ES stats)

Goals for per 20 minutes: 0.895
Goals against per 20 minutes: 0.975

Kessel since 2009 without Bozak (on-ice ES stats)

Goals for per 20 minutes: 1.043

Goals against per 20 minutes: 0.977


^^ bump these stats

- daeth





He doesn't get it
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jul 1 @ 9:16 PM ET
i'm all for replacing bozak, just want someone who is also defensively responsible
- matt1337



I'm all for replacing bozak with someone defensive responsible. "Defensively responsible" would be an upgrade.
matt1337
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: 925K. Talented player. (Lehtonen) Santo_44, ON
Joined: 09.28.2010

Jul 1 @ 9:17 PM ET
Why isnt kadri ready to be a #1 center?
- orienbrady22


really? he's only played 1 full season. when carlyle started playing him against teams top line to see if he was capable of a bigger role, his offensive numbers dropped. he isn't good defensively either. he needs more time to develop
matt1337
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: 925K. Talented player. (Lehtonen) Santo_44, ON
Joined: 09.28.2010

Jul 1 @ 9:18 PM ET
I'm all for replacing bozak win someone defensive responsible. "Defensively responsible" would be an upgrade.
- burn


so you are saying bozak isn't defensively responsible?
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Jul 1 @ 9:19 PM ET
i'm all for replacing bozak, just want someone who is also defensively responsible
- matt1337

Bolland.

C'mon, we all knew Bozak was a third liner.

We replaced him with Bolland.

Get Clarkson.

Lupul - Kadri - kessel
Jvr - Grabbo - Ckarkson
Kulemin - Bolland - McClement

The wings will make up for the weak centres.

It's doable. Yeah, Malkin and Crosby are better.

But take a look at my lines again.

Does adding Bozak make them any better?
kylkri
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: castleton, ON
Joined: 08.07.2010

Jul 1 @ 9:20 PM ET
really? he's only played 1 full season. when carlyle started playing him against teams top line to see if he was capable of a bigger role, his offensive numbers dropped. he isn't good defensively either. he needs more time to develop
- matt1337


I cant say I disagree. Im pretty sure I remember Nonis saying that he plans on using bolland in a larger role than what he played on Chicago. Is a larger role the 2C spot? Or just more time on special teams. If its the 2 spot does Kadri become #1 by default?

edit: I guess leafs could just utilize the 3rd line on a larger scale as a whole
jribout
Season Ticket Holder
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 01.24.2011

Jul 1 @ 9:21 PM ET
really? he's only played 1 full season. when carlyle started playing him against teams top line to see if he was capable of a bigger role, his offensive numbers dropped. he isn't good defensively either. he needs more time to develop
- matt1337



Check game vs Tampa matched up vs stamkos... also check games 6 and 7 of the playoffs....
orienbrady22
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Windsor, ON
Joined: 02.14.2013

Jul 1 @ 9:22 PM ET
really? he's only played 1 full season. when carlyle started playing him against teams top line to see if he was capable of a bigger role, his offensive numbers dropped. he isn't good defensively either. he needs more time to develop
- matt1337


How many full seasons did Bozak get before he was our number one?
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