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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Safe Picks vs. Highest Upside
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isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 29 @ 1:51 PM ET
sometimes I think our blobbers are smarter than Homer
- vejim

i KNOW they are
Winning
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Put in Matt Read
Joined: 03.29.2011

Jun 29 @ 1:51 PM ET
“Doesn’t think (Paajarvi) will be enough from PHI’s standpoint, they want a better player from EDM’s systeme.” Darren Dreger

Eberle? Gagner?
vejim
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: FL
Joined: 07.08.2007

Jun 29 @ 1:52 PM ET
“Doesn’t think (Paajarvi) will be enough from PHI’s standpoint, they want a better player from EDM’s systeme.” Darren Dreger

Eberle? Gagner?

- Winning

please take advantage of Craig this time Homer, you should know what overpaying is by now?
moylander
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Chicago, IL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jun 29 @ 1:52 PM ET
Pääjärvi is a relatively big guy (6'3'', 200+lbs) that is just starting to figure out how to better use his size, which is why he stuck around in the NHL this season compared to previous ones. I can see that Holmgren would be interested in his size + that he still has got some nice puck-handling skills. And considering that he wanted to get bigger forwards... This could be a trade with high upside in the long run.
- PhillySteen



I agree and it frees up cap space immediately
Marc D
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: best smile, 14 without fake tees
Joined: 03.28.2008

Jun 29 @ 1:53 PM ET
He has regressed though...when he first got here he looked like he could develop into a top 4, two-way guy who could play on the PP and put up 30-40 pts with solid defensive play...since then his offensive game has fizzled out and in his most recent campaign his defensive game took some steps back...he's in his prime now, and should be playing better than ever...why is his development taking a backwards path?
- exlund

He was great on a pair with Kimmo
Good with Grossmann
Not so good with Gervais

He can still be a solid top 4 D and play 22-23 minutes a game
He has size and can skate and can retrieve pucks well

He hasn't progressed on offense though
isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 29 @ 1:53 PM ET
“Doesn’t think (Paajarvi) will be enough from PHI’s standpoint, they want a better player from EDM’s systeme.” Darren Dreger

Eberle? Gagner?

- Winning

homer overheard dropping klefbaums
exlund
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Manywhere, NJ
Joined: 02.16.2007

Jun 29 @ 1:54 PM ET
I like him & what I did get to see of him is a small sample size but I feel he'll be more of what we have in a physical hard hitting d-man with limited offensive upside.

Nothing wrong with it just something we always seem to have plenty of right now.

- ob18


I'm not seeing particular limitations on Nurse's offensive upside. I was very impressed with his 300% gain in production this season over last...12G 29A/41 pts...4 pts in 6 playoff games..and this was playing behind Sproul, who was the featured offensive blueliner. I think he's progressing rapidly and should put up 50+ points as the #1 in Sault Ste. Marie next season.
hereticpride
New Jersey Devils
Location: HEY. Does this pole still work?, NJ
Joined: 01.14.2011

Jun 29 @ 1:54 PM ET
If Paarjarvi is in the return doesnt that mean a winger is likely out the door?
FlyerMike18
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 03.07.2009

Jun 29 @ 1:54 PM ET
I like 11 and Coburn for 7 and MPS.

Again, I'm a fan of Braydon Coburn. I like his skillset, and I believe he's a solid, legitimate Top 4 defenseman.

But he's the kind of Top 4 who you can replace: the defensive kind. It doesn't mean he's soft or a liability. It means that if you're looking to replace a Top 4, you can do that easier with Braydon Coburn.

At some point, you have to look at what's coming back. MPS has size, can skate really well. He's still developing, but he's played enough games where you have a feel for what he might be -- he's not quite as advanced as Voracek and Simmonds were, where you had a pretty good idea that both of those guys were capable of it.

But I think the No. 7 pick gives us more options. Braydon Coburn, as I said, is a good soldier. But he had reached his ceiling. We need a little more high-end talent to get us where we all want to go.

As Val Kilmer so famously said in "Heat": "The bank is worth the risk."

- AllInForFlyers


my thinking on this is pretty close
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jun 29 @ 1:54 PM ET
if they were consistent in the application of a philosophy, you wouldn't be so fearful. it seems like they get ginned up on a different idea every yr and they run it into a wall regardless of the implications. sometimes it works out and other times they end up spending almost $40 mm for a goalie over 2 yes.
- isaiah520



The Flyers are very consistent in a philosophy. Their philosophy is to use the financial power that the Organization has, to try and make the team better. And to try and win. This idea that the Flyers don't have a plan, is simply a myth. Making a trade or signing a Free Agent is how you attempt to make the team better.
isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 29 @ 1:54 PM ET
guy from the goalie guild thinks halak would be a bad fit here. concerns about the mkt, system and injury history...
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Jun 29 @ 1:55 PM ET
He has regressed though...when he first got here he looked like he could develop into a top 4, two-way guy who could play on the PP and put up 30-40 pts with solid defensive play...since then his offensive game has fizzled out and in his most recent campaign his defensive game took some steps back...he's in his prime now, and should be playing better than ever...why is his development taking a backwards path?
- exlund

A lot has to do with who you pair Coburn with. With Timonen or Grossmann he will play fine, however once they started pairing him with the likes of Gervais and Foster he was in trouble.

Im ok with Coburn and 11 for MPS and 7, though I would push hard for Edmonton to add pick #37 too. I just hope Holmgren then has a plan to fill the20+ minutes a night Coburn provides.
vejim
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: FL
Joined: 07.08.2007

Jun 29 @ 1:56 PM ET
If Paarjarvi is in the return doesnt that mean a winger is likely out the door?
- hereticpride

Read
isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 29 @ 1:56 PM ET
The Flyers are very consistent in a philosophy. Their philosophy is to use the financial power that the Organization has, to try and make the team better. And to try and win. This idea that the Flyers don't have a plan, is simply a myth. Making a trade or signing a Free Agent is how you attempt to make the team better.
- MJL

zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz......
dingo8urbaby
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.02.2009

Jun 29 @ 1:57 PM ET
He has regressed though...when he first got here he looked like he could develop into a top 4, two-way guy who could play on the PP and put up 30-40 pts with solid defensive play...since then his offensive game has fizzled out and in his most recent campaign his defensive game took some steps back...he's in his prime now, and should be playing better than ever...why is his development taking a backwards path?
- exlund

Let be fair. I don't think we actually know what Coburn could have been on the Power Play because once the Flyers only begun to add Matt Carle, Chris Pronger and Andrej Meszaros, Brayden Coburn took a back seat to these three. He can play in an offensive role, I just think more or less it was taken away from him. I still feel he can move the puck well as shown when playing with Grossman and I don't think his shot is terrible. Not always on target but still half decent.
justahockeyguy2
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 06.05.2013

Jun 29 @ 1:57 PM ET
I agree and it frees up cap space immediately
- moylander



I second this ! Would be a good long term investment.
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

Jun 29 @ 1:57 PM ET
I agree and it frees up cap space immediately
- moylander


This, too -- again, the Flyers wouldn't be doing this if Oliver Lauridsen didn't look like he had some tools, and everything I've read about Mark Alt is that, quite frankly, he's a right-handed Braydon Coburn (obviously, without experience.)

At some point, we have to acknowledge the fact that the Flyers, for whatever reason, looked a lot better with Braydon Coburn out of the lineup last season. That's not to say that Coburn is a bad player -- again, his usage last year was absolutely horrific. I've never seen a player have such tough starts in his own zone, at the rate he had them.

And he had Bruno Gervais as his partner, too.

But at the same time...the Flyers won without him in the lineup, for a long enough period of time where you have to be able to tell yourself that you can risk playing without him. That is a recipe to get traded in a cap world. It just is.

There is risk here. Absolutely. But if Valeri Nichuskin's sitting there at 7, then the bank is worth the risk.
hereticpride
New Jersey Devils
Location: HEY. Does this pole still work?, NJ
Joined: 01.14.2011

Jun 29 @ 1:57 PM ET
The Flyers are very consistent in a philosophy. Their philosophy is to use the financial power that the Organization has, to try and make the team better. And to try and win. This idea that the Flyers don't have a plan, is simply a myth. Making a trade or signing a Free Agent is how you attempt to make the team better.
- MJL

Why isn't your avatar C-3P0?
funmaster18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: All I need are some tasty waves, a cool buzz and I'm fine.
Joined: 03.15.2009

Jun 29 @ 1:57 PM ET
IMO, the flyers seem to have more of an agenda this year than years past
FlyerMike18
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 03.07.2009

Jun 29 @ 1:58 PM ET
homer overheard dropping klefbaums
- isaiah520


i've been banging that drum all morning
isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 29 @ 1:58 PM ET
A lot has to do with who you pair Coburn with. With Timonen or Grossmann he will play fine, however once they started pairing him with the likes of Gervais and Foster he was in trouble.

Im ok with Coburn and 11 for MPS and 7, though I would push hard for Edmonton to add pick #37 too. I just hope Holmgren then has a plan to fill the20+ minutes a night Coburn provides.

- BiggE

top 4 guys are tough to find. obvi, nobody wants mez...
vejim
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: FL
Joined: 07.08.2007

Jun 29 @ 1:58 PM ET
IMO, the flyers seem to have more of an agenda this year than years past
- funmaster18

they are trying to win a cup
77rams
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: There's a kind of freedom in being completely screwed...
Joined: 09.12.2006

Jun 29 @ 1:59 PM ET
NHL - Flyers and Oilers closing in on a deal, source says they Flyers want to swap 11th for 7th and Paajarvi for Coburn.
- Winning


Winning
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Put in Matt Read
Joined: 03.29.2011

Jun 29 @ 1:59 PM ET
Imj so cared
vejim
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: FL
Joined: 07.08.2007

Jun 29 @ 2:00 PM ET
This, too -- again, the Flyers wouldn't be doing this if Oliver Lauridsen didn't look like he had some tools, and everything I've read about Mark Alt is that, quite frankly, he's a right-handed Braydon Coburn (obviously, without experience.)

At some point, we have to acknowledge the fact that the Flyers, for whatever reason, looked a lot better with Braydon Coburn out of the lineup last season. That's not to say that Coburn is a bad player -- again, his usage last year was absolutely horrific. I've never seen a player have such tough starts in his own zone, at the rate he had them.

And he had Bruno Gervais as his partner, too.

But at the same time...the Flyers won without him in the lineup, for a long enough period of time where you have to be able to tell yourself that you can risk playing without him. That is a recipe to get traded in a cap world. It just is.

There is risk here. Absolutely. But if Valeri Nichuskin's sitting there at 7, then the bank is worth the risk.

- AllInForFlyers

wow, Parjaarvi and Nichuskin could be interesting
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