Wanna blog? Start your own hockey blog with My HockeyBuzz. Register for free today!
 
Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Cause for Concern in Re-Signing Free Agents Next Summer
Author Message
hereticpride
New Jersey Devils
Location: HEY. Does this pole still work?, NJ
Joined: 01.14.2011

Jun 20 @ 10:42 PM ET
Then keep the pick. Need some top tier new blood in the minors.
- jstross

To me it's quite likely all but one of Nurse, Zadorov, Pulock and Ristolainen should be available at 11. By that point I dont think the forwards are even close in value.
jstross
Joined: 06.25.2012

Jun 20 @ 10:43 PM ET
To me it's quite likely all but one of Nurse, Zadorov, Pulock and Ristolainen should be available at 11. By that point I dont think the forwards are even close in value.
- hereticpride


If that's the case I wouldn't even trade up except maybe the 41st pick. I'd take any of those 4 at 11.
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Jun 20 @ 10:45 PM ET
That was a good read. I do think a lot is made of his +/-, but that's such a flawed stat. Coburn bounces back, he and Streit are a nice, solid second pair. Streit will never be confused for Rod Langway, or even Kimmo Timonen. But he can be an adequate defensive guy
- Jsaquella


I like the idea of Coburn with Streit because Coburn skates like the wind. Its an interesting dynamic there. They are both good skaters, Coburn being excellent in my opinion. Coburn can concentrate more on his defensive game and be the "support" guy of the pair. This is the role he seems most comfortable in.

They will be a good mobile pair.
hereticpride
New Jersey Devils
Location: HEY. Does this pole still work?, NJ
Joined: 01.14.2011

Jun 20 @ 10:48 PM ET
If that's the case I wouldn't even trade up except maybe the 41st pick. I'd take any of those 4 at 11.
- jstross

I agree. I've been pushing hard for the Flyers to move Mesz, the 41st and maybe even a later pick for 28th overall from Calgary. Free's up caproom and gets another strong prospect in the system.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 20 @ 10:52 PM ET
+/- is a very telling stat. You do have to make adjustments, but it's a great starting point. Give me a team with every player a plus every game and you go undefeated.
- jstross


Yes, it's a good team stat, but it's a very flawed individual stat. Paul Coffey was a horrible defensive player. He finished a +294 in his career. Meanwhile Dave Babych, who was a very solid defenseman, ended up a -223 over his, spent mostly with far less talented teams than Coffey did.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 20 @ 10:53 PM ET
I like the idea of Coburn with Streit because Coburn skates like the wind. Its an interesting dynamic there. They are both good skaters, Coburn being excellent in my opinion. Coburn can concentrate more on his defensive game and be the "support" guy of the pair. This is the role he seems most comfortable in.

They will be a good mobile pair.

- MBFlyerfan


All Coburn has to do is be solid defensively in that pair. Don't blow position, stay in tow and don't exceed his capabilities.
wolfhounds
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 06.02.2009

Jun 20 @ 10:55 PM ET
Giroux scored at an 81 point pace last year. And was tied for 6th in the entire League in assists. And that's on a team that struggled to score at ES.
- MJL


That's not such a ringing endorsement of Giroux per se. He was outside the Top 60 in goals last season. And assists are dependent upon teammates finishing the play. Also, there's no distinction between first and second assist. And Giroux was definitely part of the reason the team struggled to score at even strength.

Hopefully he snaps out of the funk that plagued him and the team this past season.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 20 @ 10:59 PM ET
That's not such a ringing endorsement of Giroux per se. He was outside the Top 60 in goals last season. And assists are dependent upon teammates finishing the play. Also, there's no distinction between first and second assist. And Giroux was definitely part of the reason the team struggled to score at even strength.

Hopefully he snaps out of the funk that plagued him and the team this past season.

- wolfhounds


The biggest issue that the offense faced last year was the horrible transition game. It really put the Flyers out of sorts, and they wasted far too much effort trying to get the puck up the ice, and ended up a lot of times dumping and chasing when they had very little chance of retrieving the puck.
jstross
Joined: 06.25.2012

Jun 20 @ 11:01 PM ET
Yes, it's a good team stat, but it's a very flawed individual stat. Paul Coffey was a horrible defensive player. He finished a +294 in his career. Meanwhile Dave Babych, who was a very solid defenseman, ended up a -223 over his, spent mostly with far less talented teams than Coffey did.
- Jsaquella


context is always very important. Baseball has gotten very good at adjusting stats for leagues, ballparks, defense... No clue if hockey stats go that deep.
moylander
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Chicago, IL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jun 20 @ 11:05 PM ET
Yes, it's a good team stat, but it's a very flawed individual stat. Paul Coffey was a horrible defensive player. He finished a +294 in his career. Meanwhile Dave Babych, who was a very solid defenseman, ended up a -223 over his, spent mostly with far less talented teams than Coffey did.
- Jsaquella



its certainly a flawed stat but as one defensemen told me - "bottom line - a good plus/minus means a lot of good things happen while you're on the ice". Its not the end all be all but its not meaningless either.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 20 @ 11:14 PM ET
context is always very important. Baseball has gotten very good at adjusting stats for leagues, ballparks, defense... No clue if hockey stats go that deep.
- jstross


Yes, hockey has very deep and growing statistical community. sites like www.behindthenet.ca and http://stats.hockeyanalysis.com/index.php provide far more in insight than a stat that depends heavily on the performance of 4 other skaters and a goalie.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 20 @ 11:14 PM ET
its certainly a flawed stat but as one defensemen told me - "bottom line - a good plus/minus means a lot of good things happen while you're on the ice". Its not the end all be all but its not meaningless either.
- moylander


No, not meaningless...but still flawed.
wolfhounds
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 06.02.2009

Jun 20 @ 11:17 PM ET
The biggest issue that the offense faced last year was the horrible transition game. It really put the Flyers out of sorts, and they wasted far too much effort trying to get the puck up the ice, and ended up a lot of times dumping and chasing when they had very little chance of retrieving the puck.
- Jsaquella


I agree. But we were tied for 2nd most PP goals, 9th in goals per game, and 9th in total goals. So for G to be so far out of the top is an indicator of something. Bad year? Perhaps. Or he doesn't perform well under the focus of top defenders? Or he needs a certain type of talent on his line to perform at a top level?

In no way am I bashing G's potential, but with all the talk about his upcoming contract, he's going to have to do a bit more before I see him as one of the elite players in the league.

This upcoming season is going to be a real good test for G, Homer, Lavy, and the team direction as a whole.
jstross
Joined: 06.25.2012

Jun 20 @ 11:17 PM ET
Yes, hockey has very deep and growing statistical community. sites like www.behindthenet.ca and http://stats.hockeyanalysis.com/index.php provide far more in insight than a stat that depends heavily on the performance of 4 other skaters and a goalie.
- Jsaquella


I will check those out, thanks.
exlund
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Manywhere, NJ
Joined: 02.16.2007

Jun 20 @ 11:19 PM ET
The biggest issue that the offense faced last year was the horrible transition game. It really put the Flyers out of sorts, and they wasted far too much effort trying to get the puck up the ice, and ended up a lot of times dumping and chasing when they had very little chance of retrieving the puck.
- Jsaquella


This has been a bugaboo for some time...dumping and chasing, then trying to battle against big D men to win back posession (or you have a Brodeur who plays it back up the ice)...like an exercise in futility...personally, I don't even like dumping it in to do a line change...surely there must be a better way...I mean, give it to the goalie or something...turning it over is the best possible option, really?

But I digress...the forwards need to support the puck in the defensive zone and the skilled guys need to carry it into the zone more often, get a little more creative with some passes and plays rather than dump...a player like Streit can help things out with his ability to push the play up the ice, putting the opposition on their heels and opening things up. Pronger had a rather unique way of gaining the zone, with his uncanny knack for getting a shot on goal from center ice (and sometimes further)...what a smart play...promotes rebounds or perhaps some chaos or maybe the goalie stops it for an offensive zone faceoff...so much better than the conventional dump and chase.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 20 @ 11:20 PM ET
I agree. But we were tied for 2nd most PP goals, 9th in goals per game, and 9th in total goals. So for G to be so far out of the top is an indicator of something. Bad year? Perhaps. Or he doesn't perform well under the focus of top defenders? Or he needs a certain type of talent on his line to perform at a top level?

In no way am I bashing G's potential, but with all the talk about his upcoming contract, he's going to have to do a bit more before I see him as one of the elite players in the league.

This upcoming season is going to be a real good test for G, Homer, Lavy, and the team direction as a whole.

- wolfhounds


Well, it speaks to the larger issue-that the Flyers offense was bad without the power play. At 5 on 5 they didn't generate chances or goals, again, in large part because their transitional game was garbage.
fillyphlyer
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bridge City, SK
Joined: 07.25.2006

Jun 20 @ 11:20 PM ET
I have had enough of the BS salary cap. It was never us who had to say good bye to our favourite players for financial reasons. I really hope he retires after the buy out. It'll break my heart to see him wear another sweater. He, Pronger, Lappy, Kimo, they'll all be part of Flyers lore. Mike and Jeff who?
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 20 @ 11:24 PM ET
This has been a bugaboo for some time...dumping and chasing, then trying to battle against big D men to win back posession (or you have a Brodeur who plays it back up the ice)...like an exercise in futility...personally, I don't even like dumping it in to do a line change...surely there must be a better way...I mean, give it to the goalie or something...turning it over is the best possible option, really?

But I digress...the forwards need to support the puck in the defensive zone and the skilled guys need to carry it into the zone more often, get a little more creative with some passes and plays rather than dump...a player like Streit can help things out with his ability to push the play up the ice, putting the opposition on their heels and opening things up. Pronger had a rather unique way of gaining the zone, with his uncanny knack for getting a shot on goal from center ice (and sometimes further)...what a smart play...promotes rebounds or perhaps some chaos or maybe the goalie stops it for an offensive zone faceoff...so much better than the conventional dump and chase.

- exlund


Agreed wholeheartedly. The stats show that teams that have better possession tend to be better teams, because obviously, the less the other team has the puck, the less opportunity they have to score.

Now, of course there are exceptions that prove the rule...for example, Minnesota was a poor possession team, while New Jersey was a very good possession team. Which is why one must watch games as well as look at the stats.
wolfhounds
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 06.02.2009

Jun 20 @ 11:30 PM ET
Well, it speaks to the larger issue-that the Flyers offense was bad without the power play. At 5 on 5 they didn't generate chances or goals, again, in large part because their transitional game was garbage.
- Jsaquella


They were horrid 5v5. Can't be denied. But they still ended up with the 9th highest goal total, 3 away from the Islanders at #7.

Still, there's reason to believe we'll be much better 5v5 and just as potent on the PP this coming season.
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Jun 20 @ 11:31 PM ET
Agreed wholeheartedly. The stats show that teams that have better possession tend to be better teams, because obviously, the less the other team has the puck, the less opportunity they have to score.

Now, of course there are exceptions that prove the rule...for example, Minnesota was a poor possession team, while New Jersey was a very good possession team. Which is why one must watch games as well as look at the stats.

- Jsaquella


My biggest problem was even when it was obvious they had no chance to retrieve the puck after a dump, they would STILL send three guys in.....MADDENING.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 20 @ 11:32 PM ET
My biggest problem was even when it was obvious they had no chance to retrieve the puck after a dump, they would STILL send three guys in.....MADDENING.
- MBFlyerfan


yup
isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 20 @ 11:34 PM ET
Reflections OR an indictment...
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Jun 20 @ 11:51 PM ET
Reflections OR an indictment...
- isaiah520


Cobb is misleading, he makes no mention of the fact the cap was artificially reduced. You cant indict the team for cap management issues without putting it in context. Cobb fails miserably in this regard.
Roytastic
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Portland, OR
Joined: 06.18.2013

Jun 20 @ 11:52 PM ET
All those guys mentioned above, lappy especially, gave everything they had in that run in '10 to get a cup. Everyone always talks about putting it in another gear for the playoffs, but those four were red-lining it from the first game of the new jersey series to game 6 of the finals.
Nobody should forget those four. Sadly, everyone will remember all the off ice stuff and other garbage that era brought.

- the deaninator


I love Lappy. As a kid I was always a fan of Roy so because of that I followed the Avs, so when Lappy signed with the Flyers I was giddy like a little school girl because I knew what he was going to bring to the team.

I know he was with the Flyers for such a short period but if I found out that they were going to retire his number tomorrow I would have no issue with it. He gave the Flyers more in one season than a lot of players do in a career.
hereticpride
New Jersey Devils
Location: HEY. Does this pole still work?, NJ
Joined: 01.14.2011

Jun 21 @ 12:03 AM ET
I love Lappy. As a kid I was always a fan of Roy so because of that I followed the Avs, so when Lappy signed with the Flyers I was giddy like a little school girl because I knew what he was going to bring to the team.

I know he was with the Flyers for such a short period but if I found out that they were going to retire his number tomorrow I would have no issue with it. He gave the Flyers more in one season than a lot of players do in a career.

- Roytastic

Speaking of the Avs I think it's painfully obvious Sakic and Roy are trying to re-create the Lindros trade with Seth Jones. Look how well that overpayment worked out for their franchise in the 90's.
Page: Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25  Next