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Forums :: Blog World :: Ryan Wilson: Trading prospects before they lose their shine
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Ryan Wilson
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Rochester, NY
Joined: 06.13.2013

Jul 14 @ 11:25 AM ET
Ryan Wilson: Trading prospects before they lose their shine Trading prospects before they lose their shine
Barnaby36
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Former Orpik44
Joined: 02.22.2013

Jul 14 @ 11:50 AM ET
I wouldn't be against trading one of them in a deal for a Tarasenko/Dunn package. I'd do it in a heart beat.

Zucker/Pettersson/Légaré/Pick for instance.
MacPatty
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 05.21.2015

Jul 14 @ 11:53 AM ET
A source for statistical analysis has a guy listed at 5'12"... not sure I care about what the rest of the chart says if you can't even get rounding of someone's height in your calculations right.

Either way, I think everyone is realistic about what these guys are. I think skating is the only thing that could hold these two guys back. Neither are elite skaters. Poulin is a really good overall player and Legare can really shoot the puck. This year is a bit of an abberation if you ask me. I'd give Poulin a 50-50 shot of becoming a good middle six contributor and Legare about 50-50 at being a really good bottom 6 player.

I don't think that means you just trade the guys. If you want to get a top prospect and you pair one of these guys with something else then cool. If we aren't really high on these guys, other teams aren't likely to overpay us for them either.

The guy you should be trading before the shine wears off is Marino.
ChonDerry
Location: Bedlamton, AB
Joined: 04.06.2016

Jul 14 @ 12:25 PM ET
A source for statistical analysis has a guy listed at 5'12"... not sure I care about what the rest of the chart says if you can't even get rounding of someone's height in your calculations right.

.

- MacPatty


It shall be updated to 4'24" post-haste
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jul 14 @ 12:41 PM ET
A source for statistical analysis has a guy listed at 5'12"... not sure I care about what the rest of the chart says if you can't even get rounding of someone's height in your calculations right.

Either way, I think everyone is realistic about what these guys are. I think skating is the only thing that could hold these two guys back. Neither are elite skaters. Poulin is a really good overall player and Legare can really shoot the puck. This year is a bit of an abberation if you ask me. I'd give Poulin a 50-50 shot of becoming a good middle six contributor and Legare about 50-50 at being a really good bottom 6 player.

I don't think that means you just trade the guys. If you want to get a top prospect and you pair one of these guys with something else then cool. If we aren't really high on these guys, other teams aren't likely to overpay us for them either.

The guy you should be trading before the shine wears off is Marino.

- MacPatty

Reverend Killtaker
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Alexandria, VA
Joined: 07.02.2008

Jul 14 @ 12:53 PM ET
"Today @ 12:25 PM ET
A source for statistical analysis has a guy listed at 5'12"... not sure I care about what the rest of the chart says if you can't even get rounding of someone's height in your calculations right.

.
- MacPatty


It shall be updated to 4'24" post-haste"

You euros and your crazy metric systems...
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Jul 14 @ 12:58 PM ET


The guy you should be trading before the shine wears off is Marino.

- MacPatty


So can we officially say your new whipping boy is Marino?
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jul 14 @ 12:58 PM ET
"Today @ 12:25 PM ET
A source for statistical analysis has a guy listed at 5'12"... not sure I care about what the rest of the chart says if you can't even get rounding of someone's height in your calculations right.

.
- MacPatty


It shall be updated to 4'24" post-haste"

You euros and your crazy metric systems...

- Reverend Killtaker


He is 7200 centinches. Or if we want to use more conventional units, he is 1.829 x 10^9 nanometers and 0.000987 nautical miles tall.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jul 14 @ 12:58 PM ET
So can we officially say your new whipping boy is Marino?
- Rinosaur


Yeah, I hear he's into that kinda poop.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jul 14 @ 1:00 PM ET
So can we officially say your new whipping boy is Marino?
- Rinosaur

Can you post one of those comparison charts of Risto and Marino?
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jul 14 @ 1:04 PM ET
Can you post one of those comparison charts of Risto and Marino?
- Feds91Stammer





As you can clearly see, A is 10, B is 30, and C is 20. Therefore, B is more than C, and C is more than A.
Reverend Killtaker
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Alexandria, VA
Joined: 07.02.2008

Jul 14 @ 1:05 PM ET
He is 7200 centinches. Or if we want to use more conventional units, he is 1.829 x 10^9 nanometers and 0.000987 nautical miles tall.
- jmatchett383


<----Reaches for abacus.
TheGame316
Joined: 11.18.2008

Jul 14 @ 1:12 PM ET
RW is hilarious

He simultaneously complains about not having any effective ELC players in the lineup to extend the window, and how the prospect cupboard is bare while, for years, advocating for trading every high pick and prospect we do have because "The Window is Now"

Hilarious
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jul 14 @ 1:13 PM ET
RW is hilarious

He simultaneously complains about not having any effective ELC players in the lineup to extend the window, and how the prospect cupboard is bare while advocating for trading every high pick and prospect we do have because "The Window is Now"

Hilarious

- TheGame316


Both can be and are true. Poulin/Legare aren't "high picks," they aren't on anyone's prospect radar.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jul 14 @ 1:16 PM ET
RW is hilarious

He simultaneously complains about not having any effective ELC players in the lineup to extend the window, and how the prospect cupboard is bare while advocating for trading every high pick and prospect we do have because "The Window is Now"

Hilarious

- TheGame316


But Poulin and Legare aren't guys who will be effective in the next 2-3 years. If you can turn them into players who are effective currently due to perceived future value, then you can do it.

The problem is that continually trading first-round picks to "win now" means that you have less of a chance to get a player on an ELC who can step in and be effective immediately.
TheGame316
Joined: 11.18.2008

Jul 14 @ 1:21 PM ET
Both can be and are true. Poulin/Legare aren't "high picks," they aren't on anyone's prospect radar.
- j.boyd919


Goes beyond these specific 2 guys though

The underlying complaint theme for years has been

1) We don't have any value players on ELC's
2) The prospect cupboard is bare
3) Draft picks are worthless because they are no better than lottery picks and we are better off trading them for ready now players
4) The window is always "Right now" not a year or two from now (this was true even 3 seasons ago) so its imperative we continue this cycle

All the while he's been unable to sew this fabric together that if we had kept the picks/prospects, and possibly obtained more, maybe the prospect pool wouldn't be empty and we'd have guys in the lineup that were effective and on ELC's

I'm not complaining about the Pens process, but you can't advocate for one, and then b1tch about the other when the underlying strategy is linked


Tojo.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Aliquippa, PA
Joined: 11.11.2014

Jul 14 @ 1:22 PM ET
JMO, Pens could have gone to the ECF with a better tender. I don't think anyone was beating Tampa.

It's a fair point however. Some holes/wants are gonna be easier to patch than others. Tending is my #1 wish. Bigger RW for Sid's line would be my #2. Tough physical D would be my #3.

- madmike71

I 100% endorse your wish list.
TheGame316
Joined: 11.18.2008

Jul 14 @ 1:23 PM ET
But Poulin and Legare aren't guys who will be effective in the next 2-3 years. If you can turn them into players who are effective currently due to perceived future value, then you can do it.

The problem is that continually trading first-round picks to "win now" means that you have less of a chance to get a player on an ELC who can step in and be effective immediately.

- jmatchett383


That's what I'm saying

Every prospect is 2 or 3 years away, including guys we may have traded 2 or 3 years ago

And in 2 or 3 years, we'll be lamenting that Geno and Sid are 36/37 and we don't have any young/cheap ELC level players
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jul 14 @ 1:25 PM ET
A source for statistical analysis has a guy listed at 5'12"... not sure I care about what the rest of the chart says if you can't even get rounding of someone's height in your calculations right.

Either way, I think everyone is realistic about what these guys are. I think skating is the only thing that could hold these two guys back. Neither are elite skaters. Poulin is a really good overall player and Legare can really shoot the puck. This year is a bit of an abberation if you ask me. I'd give Poulin a 50-50 shot of becoming a good middle six contributor and Legare about 50-50 at being a really good bottom 6 player.

I don't think that means you just trade the guys. If you want to get a top prospect and you pair one of these guys with something else then cool. If we aren't really high on these guys, other teams aren't likely to overpay us for them either.

The guy you should be trading before the shine wears off is Marino.

- MacPatty


How do you get to this? What's the thought process?

I would obviously love for you to be right but from what I've seen of both you're majorly on the optimistic side for them.

I wonder if them probably being the top 2 Pens prospects gives an illusion of them being top prospects over all...
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jul 14 @ 1:26 PM ET
RW is hilarious

He simultaneously complains about not having any effective ELC players in the lineup to extend the window, and how the prospect cupboard is bare while, for years, advocating for trading every high pick and prospect we do have because "The Window is Now"

Hilarious

- TheGame316

Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jul 14 @ 1:27 PM ET
How do you get to this? What's the thought process?

I would obviously love for you to be right but from what I've seen of both you're majorly on the optimistic side for them.

I wonder if them probably being the top 2 Pens prospects gives an illusion of them being top prospects over all...

- MattStrat

Just look at their cohorts from the Q and all the NHL success those guys have had.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jul 14 @ 1:28 PM ET
That's what I'm saying

Every prospect is 2 or 3 years away, including guys we may have traded 2 or 3 years ago

And in 2 or 3 years, we'll be lamenting that Geno and Sid are 36/37 and we don't have any young/cheap ELC level players

- TheGame316

In 2 to 3 years it will be 2 or 3 seasons since the Pens made the playoffs and people will go back to not giving a poop about the team.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Jul 14 @ 1:31 PM ET
Can you post one of those comparison charts of Risto and Marino?
- Feds91Stammer



via GIPHY

VoiceofLange
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Gibsonia, PA
Joined: 01.19.2019

Jul 14 @ 1:32 PM ET
Dont know what they can do until they play in the big boy lineup. Rust, Kuhnhackl, Sheary, Guentzel etc. were just prospects that should be traded for over the hill dog poop wingers too I'm sure. Play some kids, throw in some cheap grinders who need paychecks to fill out the bottom slots and make some room. Lots of cheaper players who can be slotted in who can add some hunger. This lineup is Soffff
Tojo.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Aliquippa, PA
Joined: 11.11.2014

Jul 14 @ 1:33 PM ET
RW is hilarious

He simultaneously complains about not having any effective ELC players in the lineup to extend the window, and how the prospect cupboard is bare while, for years, advocating for trading every high pick and prospect we do have because "The Window is Now"

Hilarious

- TheGame316

I agree with this. Whatever the chances are, the Pens desperately need some value contracts. And they are talking about adding size that has some skill. Well, here you go.

Pens have dealt the prospects plenty of times. It's ok to hang on to some. I'd argue having some prospects pan out is the only way the Pens can continue to be competitive in Sid and Malkin's final years. A third of the team needs new contracts next year and all the supporting players are in a position to get a raise.

Also, basing a player's NHL success completely on his scoring stats is dumb. Especially if they bring other attributes. Those are still better numbers than Tom Wilson put up.
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