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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Marner, Leafs nowhere close on new deal
Author Message
RickJames77
Boston Bruins
Location: We’re Too Old, Boston
Joined: 04.03.2013

Sep 12 @ 9:43 AM ET
Mitch for Pasta or Mccovoy ..k
- senstroll

GM Max will take Heinen and you'll all love it
walshyleafsfan
Vancouver Canucks
Location: I really don't care about Nylander, I really hope he gets injured and is out - Makita
Joined: 07.14.2011

Sep 12 @ 9:44 AM ET
couple of things with trading him.

the trades I have seen people throw out, are not enough for Marner imo.
And there is another problem. who wants him if they have to pay his crazy ask

- senstroll

Zurich Lions
The Law
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.29.2008

Sep 12 @ 9:44 AM ET
does anyone have the contract prediction link handy?
Id like to see what people were predicting months ago

i have a feeling the numbers have shifted what people think is fair/overpayment

- senstroll


i was at 6 x 9.5 .....although I didn't consider MM demanding repayment of his missed bonues ...that'd at 750k per year ..if I were to agree to it.
GreatGigInTheSky
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: "Yeah, Garth is a tool"- Garf, ON
Joined: 06.12.2017

Sep 12 @ 9:44 AM ET
does anyone have the contract prediction link handy?
Id like to see what people were predicting months ago

i have a feeling the numbers have shifted what people think is fair/overpayment

- senstroll


I said that I expected a 6 year deal at an average of $10.5 but I fully said that that would be a big over payment. It's just what I though it would turnout to be.
LeafGuy89
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 05.13.2017

Sep 12 @ 9:45 AM ET
This whole Mitch thing is getting rather annoying. FML, why do politics have to ruin sports
PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I would never let my children play hockey. The risk of getting drafted by Edmonton is too high", ON
Joined: 08.11.2011

Sep 12 @ 9:45 AM ET
Welcome to Boston, Mitch
- RickJames77



Welcome to Toronto, Pasta and Carlo.
The Law
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.29.2008

Sep 12 @ 9:45 AM ET
https://theathletic.com/1204102/2019/09/12/lebrun-whats-a-fair-contract-for-mitch-marner-nhl-executives-agents-weigh-in/

according to this a 5/6 year deal around 10.5 is the happy ground

- senstroll


Even that ...(frank), Eichel signed in at 8 x 10 just last year.
PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I would never let my children play hockey. The risk of getting drafted by Edmonton is too high", ON
Joined: 08.11.2011

Sep 12 @ 9:47 AM ET
Wait, you think Mirtle has more merit than Friedman?
- GreatGigInTheSky



Mirtle is a Leaf fan.. So, I think Freidman has more merit.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Sep 12 @ 9:47 AM ET
Even that ...(frank), Eichel signed in at 8 x 10 just last year.
- The Law


Eichel, Stone, Kucherov, Aho ...soon point, rantenen, kuchuk etc etc
pasts 6.66, Nylander 6.9

all better value
PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I would never let my children play hockey. The risk of getting drafted by Edmonton is too high", ON
Joined: 08.11.2011

Sep 12 @ 9:48 AM ET
GM Max will take Heinen and you'll all love it
- RickJames77



Thank gosh, he's only Leafs GM on HB
PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I would never let my children play hockey. The risk of getting drafted by Edmonton is too high", ON
Joined: 08.11.2011

Sep 12 @ 9:48 AM ET
i was at 6 x 9.5 .....although I didn't consider MM demanding repayment of his missed bonues ...that'd at 750k per year ..if I were to agree to it.
- The Law


I think I went 6 yrs at 10.5M
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Sep 12 @ 9:49 AM ET
Mirtle is a Leaf fan.. So, I think Freidman has more merit.
- PatC80


he is not a Leafs fan, why does he get pegged as one. he wrote an article about him not being a leafs fan
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Sep 12 @ 9:50 AM ET
couple of things with trading him.

the trades I have seen people throw out, are not enough for Marner imo.
And there is another problem. who wants him if they have to pay his crazy ask

- senstroll


So, if you play the game - who would you trade Marner for? You're looking for a trade partner who has cap space and a need for an offensive-style player. That means that they probably have D to trade and a need up front.

When I look at young D who you would consider as a part of a Marner deal (and I assume guys like Dahlin are off the table), I see Ekblad, Dumba, Hamilton, Parayko and Jones as the basic guys you'd want. I'm ignoring some, obviously.

Florida could certainly benefit from a Marner, but I don't know if they could afford him. If they were willing to deal Ekblad, it would leave them $8.5m for a Marner contract.

Minnesota could fit him at around $11m, but if they wanted to deal using Dumba, it would definitely include + pieces. I don't even know if I think that much of Dumba, myself.

Carolina has no space. They'd have to trade contract value to get room, and that would be lopsided against them.

St. Louis doesn't have the space either. If I were them, I'd be reluctant to break up the D-group that just won the cup anyway.

I seriously doubt Columbus would want to trade Jones or Werenski - although I also think we overvalue Jones a bit on here. That said, Columbus has a fair amount of space - but they have 6 RFAs next year.

The more I look at this, the more I think there aren't really many trade avenues open either.
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Sep 12 @ 9:52 AM ET
I think his dad turned out that way because of trailer trash mother.
Or maybe he was a d-bag from the start and that's why he found her to be a great fit.

- MaximusAurelius

Seriously, Max - can we please stop with the insults of Marner's mother?

The only thing - the only franking thing - that you know about her is that she stood up and "did the floss" during the mothers' trip.

That's the sum total of what you know about her.

So drop the misogynist crap about Marner's mother. It makes you look like an arsehole.
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Sep 12 @ 9:52 AM ET
Wait, you think Mirtle has more merit than Friedman?
- GreatGigInTheSky


You're probably right. But I like Mirtle as well. I trust most of what Friedman says, to be honest, but every now and then it seems like he's stirring the pot (although I believe he always prefaces such things by noting it's his personal opinion).

I think for a guy like Friedman - who isn't athletic and doesn't have a hockey background - to have credibility, he has to be reliable.
Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 11.30.2009

Sep 12 @ 9:54 AM ET
Who's taking notes today? Garnie's turn?
- The Law


No way, too hungover today
PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I would never let my children play hockey. The risk of getting drafted by Edmonton is too high", ON
Joined: 08.11.2011

Sep 12 @ 9:54 AM ET
he is not a Leafs fan, why does he get pegged as one. he wrote an article about him not being a leafs fan
- senstroll



Mainly, because I still think he is.
Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 11.30.2009

Sep 12 @ 9:55 AM ET
yes, he went to grab his crayon box



- senstroll


Sum female dog 🤬


*eats crayon*
matty12345
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 01.11.2007

Sep 12 @ 9:56 AM ET
So, if you play the game - who would you trade Marner for? You're looking for a trade partner who has cap space and a need for an offensive-style player. That means that they probably have D to trade and a need up front.

When I look at young D who you would consider as a part of a Marner deal (and I assume guys like Dahlin are off the table), I see Ekblad, Dumba, Hamilton, Parayko and Jones as the basic guys you'd want. I'm ignoring some, obviously.

Florida could certainly benefit from a Marner, but I don't know if they could afford him. If they were willing to deal Ekblad, it would leave them $8.5m for a Marner contract.

Minnesota could fit him at around $11m, but if they wanted to deal using Dumba, it would definitely include + pieces. I don't even know if I think that much of Dumba, myself.

Carolina has no space. They'd have to trade contract value to get room, and that would be lopsided against them.

St. Louis doesn't have the space either. If I were them, I'd be reluctant to break up the D-group that just won the cup anyway.

I seriously doubt Columbus would want to trade Jones or Werenski - although I also think we overvalue Jones a bit on here. That said, Columbus has a fair amount of space - but they have 6 RFAs next year.

The more I look at this, the more I think there aren't really many trade avenues open either.

- Monkeypunk


1 for 1 for Taylor Hall. Leafs can sign hall long term for probably 11-12 million, which is what they offered Marner, and NJ can overpay Marner to stay, while Hall is probably a goner.

Meanwhile Hall gets 100 points with Tavares and Marner comes back down to 75-80 probably. Leafs look like geniuses, and NJ can brag they got a star back for a guy who was walking out the door on them anyway.
Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 11.30.2009

Sep 12 @ 9:57 AM ET
Marner for Hamilton and Gardiner

😎
PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I would never let my children play hockey. The risk of getting drafted by Edmonton is too high", ON
Joined: 08.11.2011

Sep 12 @ 9:58 AM ET
You're probably right. But I like Mirtle as well. I trust most of what Friedman says, to be honest, but every now and then it seems like he's stirring the pot (although I believe he always prefaces such things by noting it's his personal opinion).

I think for a guy like Friedman - who isn't athletic and doesn't have a hockey background - to have credibility, he has to be reliable.

- Monkeypunk



I would rate Chris Johnston a little higher than Friedman, but yeah, I do trust what Friedman says
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Sep 12 @ 9:59 AM ET
I would rate Chris Johnston a little higher than Friedman, but yeah, I do trust what Friedman says
- PatC80


CJ is hands-down the best right now.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Sep 12 @ 10:00 AM ET
1 for 1 for Taylor Hall. Leafs can sign hall long term for probably 11-12 million, which is what they offered Marner, and NJ can overpay Marner to stay, while Hall is probably a goner.

Meanwhile Hall gets 100 points with Tavares and Marner comes back down to 75-80 probably. Leafs look like geniuses, and NJ can brag they got a star back for a guy who was walking out the door on them anyway.

- matty12345


or trade Mitch for a blue chip stud prospect and then sign Hall when he is a FA
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Sep 12 @ 10:00 AM ET
Ya there's some of that ..but I think most are discussing it in a "if true" kind of way. If he's going to die on the "I want 5 x 11.65" hill then it is what it is and we move on.

I have some hope (from the history of his agent) that this is a lot of smoke and mirrors and puffery and that at some point a few weeks from now he'll reduce his demands (again, if his reported demands are even true).

- The Law

Due to the wild wackiness of the salary cap calculator, he doesn't have a deadline of December 1st.

Every day after the opening puck drop reduces the cap space the Leafs have -and the space they have to give Mitchy.

My sincere hope is that Point signs a bridge deal that is in keeping with what the Bolts usually hand out - meaning low.

It will hopefully put pressure on Marner to sign a bridge deal.

I haven't done the math, but big money up front, not so much 2nd year, 3rd year of $10 million so that his qualifying offer has to be high.

Kick this can down the road three years.
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Sep 12 @ 10:02 AM ET
You're probably right. But I like Mirtle as well. I trust most of what Friedman says, to be honest, but every now and then it seems like he's stirring the pot (although I believe he always prefaces such things by noting it's his personal opinion).

I think for a guy like Friedman - who isn't athletic and doesn't have a hockey background - to have credibility, he has to be reliable.

- Monkeypunk

The thing that I really like about Friedman is he seems to know this - he talks much more about contracts, the business side.
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