Location: Malkin wants to be The Man, ON Joined: 02.01.2016
Jun 12 @ 11:59 AM ET
Can you possibly come up with a more subjective and random way to analyze the game of hockey? You just invent some random factors with some random scoring system. This is totally meaningless. You also seem to move the goalposts on a daily basis. One day it comes down to goaltending and special teams. Then you introduce 4 new factors - skill, momentum, hunger, blah blah. And if all of that is tied then it comes down to luck. Now 11 new factors, including nonsense like the Fan Factor, and whether the teams are Below or Above Expectations.
Honestly, do you really think the Blues have an advantage because the players will be contemplating about the standings at Christmas and where they are today? So in a 50-50 board battle or during a key faceoff this is going to help make a difference?
And despite all of these 11 factors you fail to mention luck. Sorry. But in a Game 7 between two fairly evenly matched teams it may come down to which team gets a fortunate bounce...a deflection, a goal post, a broken stick, a bad line change. That's likely what it comes down to. Bounces. And goaltending. Either goalie has an off night and it's over.
But sure. I'll be watching for how the Bruins have the "Last Game Carry Over" effect worth +2 which is offset by the "Style Versus Opponent" that nets the Blues a +1. Surprised the folks at Hockey Night in Canada haven't invited you to shed more insight during their telecast. Then let you cut away in the 3rd period to get ready to go on the ice.
- uofcguy
Ek always makes it so that no matter which team wins he's right. "I predicted the Blues would win but I did say Boston could win."
Also, tonight will be the 19th Cup awarded during this century.
SEVEN of those 19 went 7 games, including a period of 3 consecutive years. Yet this is called the RAREST of RARE??
EIGHT of those 19 went 6 games.
FOUR of those 19 went 5 games.
So you know what's pretty RARE? A 4-game sweep. That hasn't happened during this century. Have to go back to Detroit in 1998 in a pre-salary cap world. Seeing a final go 7 games is fairly common.
Also, tonight will be the 19th Cup awarded during this century.
SEVEN of those 19 went 7 games, including a period of 3 consecutive years. Yet this is called the RAREST of RARE??
EIGHT of those 19 went 6 games.
FOUR of those 19 went 5 games.
So you know what's pretty RARE? A 4-game sweep. That hasn't happened during this century. Have to go back to Detroit in 1998 in a pre-salary cap world. Seeing a final go 7 games is fairly common. - uofcguy
They swept the Flyers in the year before that too....in 1997. 2 years, 2 sweeps
I like how the Blues get +1 for "Style Versus Opponent". Since they dump and chase against the Bruins banged up defense, they get a +1.
Yet we also read:
The Bruins are excellent at getting guys WIDE open between the face-off circles...The Blues have a hole in their defense and have given up quite a few holes but overly pursuing Bruins players behind the net...leaving the slot alone and the Bruins are well aware of this issue…
So it sounds like the Blues style has a pretty big flaw here doesn't it? Why are the Blues awarded a +1, when its the Bruins style that is leading to all of these WIDE open chances in the slot?
This is my point about how random and subjective this entire analysis is. Also like the comment about special teams may NOT be a factor. Wow. Bold stuff here. So it may NOT be a factor, leaving the door open that it also may BE a factor. Never wrong.
Congrats Boston, Ek picked St. Louis. - BlackhawkMike
But he also predicted that if Rask is on his game, then the Bruins could easily roll the Blues.
So win-win.
Even if the Bruins win tonight he'll say he was right that it went 7 games, which is RARE, but in the end the Bruins won because they had a +1 Fan Factor going for them. Also aa +2 from "Last Game Carry-Over".