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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Wrap: Flyers Power Past Senators, 7-4
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YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Oct 11 @ 11:24 AM ET
Yeah, #fancies not needed to confirm that lol
- Scoob

lol not really the intent...more so saying that "historically bad" level probably (hopefully lol) isn't sustainable
ajw12
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 06.27.2017

Oct 11 @ 11:25 AM ET
Apologies in advance for using fancy stats, but since I am not using them to scapegoat anyone in specific maybe they won't be cast off so quickly.



Obviously some sample size issues, but to say that doesn't match the eye test would be incorrect. They're giving up way too many good chances.

- YuenglingJagr


I would like to see a graph to confirm that this is, in fact, the truth.
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Oct 11 @ 11:27 AM ET
I would like to see a graph to confirm that this is, in fact, the truth.
- ajw12

Sincere apologies...I forgot to attach. Here you go

ajw12
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 06.27.2017

Oct 11 @ 11:29 AM ET
Sincere apologies...I forgot to attach. Here you go


- YuenglingJagr


This is much appreciated. I now understand the correlation.
Not_Yan
St Louis Blues
Location: it's an excellent product, easier, quicker, and even better than real mashed potatoes.
Joined: 04.19.2013

Oct 11 @ 11:30 AM ET


Recap of the last 2 pages : MJL disagrees
landros 2
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Centre of universe
Joined: 02.07.2007

Oct 11 @ 11:32 AM ET
I disagree. That was a salary cap move and a mistake. Your analysis is incomplete. MacDonald was a better player then, during and still now than Manning ever was or will be
- MJL



this statement is BS
dickflair
Joined: 02.21.2018

Oct 11 @ 11:33 AM ET
Recap of the last 2 pages : MJL disagrees
- Not_Yan



shocker!
Streit2ThePoint
Seattle Kraken
Location: it's disgusting how good you are at hockeybuzz.
Joined: 09.20.2013

Oct 11 @ 11:34 AM ET
None of those players can play center. Weal can.
- MJL


This is not accurate.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Oct 11 @ 11:40 AM ET
Apologies in advance for using fancy stats, but since I am not using them to scapegoat anyone in specific maybe they won't be cast off so quickly.



Obviously some sample size issues, but to say that doesn't match the eye test would be incorrect. They're giving up way too many good chances.

- YuenglingJagr


So how about instead of "expected" goals against, which discounts small factors like goaltending, we look at the actual goals against.

I don't think there would be much difference, and it's clear that their defense has been somewhere between below average and atrocious, but this whole "expected" thing is the one #fancy that i despise the most.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Oct 11 @ 11:41 AM ET
Recap of the last 2 pages : MJL disagrees
- Not_Yan


He's only disagreeing because it's clear to him that the coach and GM are always making all of the correct choices.

Scoob
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: love is love
Joined: 06.29.2006

Oct 11 @ 11:42 AM ET
lol not really the intent...more so saying that "historically bad" level probably (hopefully lol) isn't sustainable
- YuenglingJagr


Flyers: hold my beer
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Oct 11 @ 11:47 AM ET
So how about instead of "expected" goals against, which discounts small factors like goaltending, we look at the actual goals against.

I don't think there would be much difference, and it's clear that their defense has been somewhere between below average and atrocious, but this whole "expected" thing is the one #fancy that i despise the most.

- jmatchett383

I don't think it discounts goaltending. It puts it in perspective. It doesn't say there weren't saves they could've made, but the quality of the shots the goalies are facing are in general higher than usual. The Flyers aren't giving up tons of point shots and low quality shots, they are giving up good scoring chances because of terrible NZ and DZ play from the 5 guys in front of the goalies
johndewar
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: South Jersey, NJ
Joined: 01.16.2009

Oct 11 @ 11:58 AM ET
Sincere apologies...I forgot to attach. Here you go


- YuenglingJagr


/prints out chart
//breaks out 64 box of crayolas with the sharpener in the back
Scoob
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: love is love
Joined: 06.29.2006

Oct 11 @ 12:11 PM ET
/prints out chart
//breaks out 64 box of crayolas with the sharpener in the back

- johndewar


The Cadillac of Crayon boxes
dragonoffrost
Season Ticket Holder
Location: The East Coast Dump, NJ
Joined: 10.12.2015

Oct 11 @ 12:20 PM ET
A Mac is finished in this high skilled no hit no grab speed League. And he was never good to begin with.
- Landsbergfan


Dan McGillis post lockout cooked?
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Oct 11 @ 12:24 PM ET
You're original assertion is still wrong, but I'm glad you got if off your chest.
- johndewar


You can have that opinion all you want but it's clear that the decision was mistake and that MacDonald is a better player than Manning.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Oct 11 @ 12:26 PM ET
I don't think it discounts goaltending. It puts it in perspective. It doesn't say there weren't saves they could've made, but the quality of the shots the goalies are facing are in general higher than usual. The Flyers aren't giving up tons of point shots and low quality shots, they are giving up good scoring chances because of terrible NZ and DZ play from the 5 guys in front of the goalies
- YuenglingJagr


It would have to improve to get to the terrible level.
opeth_pa
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: The Implication
Joined: 12.13.2011

Oct 11 @ 12:31 PM ET
That wasn't a deflection. Tkachuk definitely kicked it.
- johndewar


Yea he did but then another player hit it so it doesn't matter.
hockeylover
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: There's always next year., NT
Joined: 08.03.2006

Oct 11 @ 12:32 PM ET
This may be controversial to say, but I'm going to say it anyway. Sorry if it offends some....











The Stanley Cup will be awarded this year at the end of the Stanley Cup Finals.



Not sure how many will agree. But it needed to be said.
mayorofangrytown
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Downingtown, PA
Joined: 08.16.2006

Oct 11 @ 12:39 PM ET
This may be controversial to say, but I'm going to say it anyway. Sorry if it offends some....











The Stanley Cup will be awarded this year at the end of the Stanley Cup Finals.



Not sure how many will agree. But it needed to be said.

- hockeylover

No. Because there isn't more than one Stanley Cup Final.
johndewar
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: South Jersey, NJ
Joined: 01.16.2009

Oct 11 @ 12:39 PM ET
This may be controversial to say, but I'm going to say it anyway. Sorry if it offends some....











The Stanley Cup will be awarded this year at the end of the Stanley Cup Finals.



Not sure how many will agree. But it needed to be said.

- hockeylover


FALSE NOT TRUE I GOT THE DOCUMENTS RIGHT HERE


MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Oct 11 @ 12:44 PM ET
They didn't even want McDonald as the #8, and the salary cap had nothing to do with it. If the salary cap was the reason, they would have promoted MacDonald when Streit got hurt in November or when Vinny and LSchenn were traded in January.
- Feanor


Street was not hurt in training camp. MacDonald came back up later in the season and helped the team down the stretch..It was clear that he should've never been sent down and he was better than players the Flyers kept instead such as Manning.
Crimsoninja
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Dude, I am so sorry about whatever made you like this. Take it easy.
Joined: 07.06.2007

Oct 11 @ 12:46 PM ET
No. Because there isn't more than one Stanley Cup Final.
- mayorofangrytown

there's at least 4 games so finals works too ive decided

this conversation is over


all joking aside i do find it odd that the nba calls it the finals and the nhl goes with final
hockeylover
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: There's always next year., NT
Joined: 08.03.2006

Oct 11 @ 12:47 PM ET
No. Because there isn't more than one Stanley Cup Final.
- mayorofangrytown



Damn you "S" in my original post.
mayorofangrytown
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Downingtown, PA
Joined: 08.16.2006

Oct 11 @ 12:56 PM ET
there's at least 4 games so finals works too ive decided

this conversation is over


all joking aside i do find it odd that the nba calls it the finals and the nhl goes with final

- Crimsoninja

..and World Serieses
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