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Forums :: Blog World :: Justin Lowe: Maybe the Blackhawks Do Have a Plan
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Return of the Roar
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Solidly grounded in reality, IL
Joined: 07.27.2009

Jul 5 @ 11:29 AM ET
If it takes a big overpayment to move Hossa, then they shouldn't do it. Pittsburgh won two Cups with Dupis on LTIR so the Hawks should not be so desperate to move Hossa that they not only throw in two valuable assets but also take back a bad contract.
- L_B_R


So you think Forsling and Murphy are worth doing nothing for?
matt_ahrens
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: San Carlos, CA
Joined: 06.30.2014

Jul 5 @ 11:29 AM ET
I'm sure they'd like to move Murphy, but not for the possibility of nothing in return. Stralman would be better off being traded for assets then signing at a lower cap hit / higher salary back in Tampa after the one season. Also if there was a full rebuild in motion, they would be trying to trade Murphy for picks and prospects, not an expiring contract.
- L_B_R


Yeah, and if Q is gone soon, maybe the next coach gets more out of Murphy.
They seem to be wanting cap space, maybe for resigning some of the youngsters or taking on more contracts at TDL or next summer or just to pay less for a non-playoff team.
walleyeb1
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Petersburg, IL
Joined: 09.25.2014

Jul 5 @ 11:30 AM ET
I'm not sure how exact it is, but here is TSN's Tavares calculator: https://www.tsn.ca/nhl/tavares-calculator
- L_B_R


Thanks for sharing this tool, it’s very interesting. Looks like he signed with a team where he will take home the least amount of money.
Tyler Cameron
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 10.31.2017

Jul 5 @ 11:31 AM ET
Not to be tinfoil hat about the situation, but I have to wonder if some of this reluctance is being pushed by the league. Obviously they are not happy about this loophole/contract situation and are unable to do anything about it (see Pronger)

Justin, do you think that the league has sent out any quiet or not-so-quiet memo's discouraging teams from taking a Hossa trade?
The Hawks have not been relevant contenders the last two years, which makes me wonder why teams would "not want to do the Hawks any favors."

- Q-stache


Friedman actually suggested that the league maybe strongly suggested that the Hawks don't trade the Hossa contract.

He follows up by saying they have to do what they have to do and he projects that he be moved at some point.
L_B_R
Chicago Blackhawks
Joined: 02.23.2014

Jul 5 @ 11:31 AM ET
So you think Forsling and Murphy are worth doing nothing for?
- Return of the Roar

I think Forsling and Murphy are worth more than nothing. Doing something for the sake of doing something is pointless.
L_B_R
Chicago Blackhawks
Joined: 02.23.2014

Jul 5 @ 11:32 AM ET
Thanks for sharing this tool, it’s very interesting. Looks like he signed with a team where he will take home the least amount of money.
- walleyeb1

Least amount of contract money, yeah. The article with the calculator notes that Tavares will be able to make up any difference and then some because playing for Toronto offers more sponsorship and endorsement money.
L_B_R
Chicago Blackhawks
Joined: 02.23.2014

Jul 5 @ 11:34 AM ET
What doesn't make sense to me is that the calculator seems not to take into effect ANY state/local taxes paid for games played in states with income taxes.

The tax rate shown for Dallas and TB, for instance, is 36.4% - which, for Tavares at $11MM per year, would be what he would pay in federal taxes.

No provision for any state income taxes based on games played in other states, nor for any sales taxes or property taxes (both of which can substitute for state income taxes), etc.

So - I'm not sure of the value of this calculator.

In any case, the higher-value UFAs this summer seem to be not very concerned with the state tax implications than with going where they wanted to go.

- StLBravesFan

Maybe they do not have to pay based on games play in other states? It's based on the tax information provided by GAVIN Hockey Wealth Specialists, a leading financial advisor to NHL players, so you'd think they'd know best. I personally have no idea.
ObeseOprah
Chicago Blackhawks
Joined: 01.17.2014

Jul 5 @ 11:34 AM ET
No way the Hawks should move Saad for Faulk:



- DarthKane


Totally agree Darth. We can't lose Saad again. And we can't have the worst LW group in the league.

With regards to Stralman, he's a great shutdown defender with a decent amount of offensive ability. He gets very little PP time so his numbers will always be modest, especially with Hedman and McDonagh taking the lions share. Stralman was an unsung hero for NYR before he got traded, and most people have picked up how smart and efficient of a defender he is since then. He'd be one of the best shutdown replacements for Hammer outside of Marc-Edward Vlasic.
BetweenTheDots
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 06.13.2015

Jul 5 @ 11:37 AM ET
So you think Forsling and Murphy are worth doing nothing for?
- Return of the Roar


Jim Hendry gm of the Cubs would make moves like this and all it does in the long run is weaken the team. They need to use Hossa's contract to their advantage, Bowman did a great job of not throwing money/ years away in free agency, imho he needs to be patient here, i don't care for Murphy but I'd rather give him one more year than bring Stalman here. He's a solid defender but on the wrong side of 30
mrpaulish
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Itasca, IL
Joined: 01.18.2010

Jul 5 @ 11:38 AM ET
Lol Montreal
powerenforcer
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Wheeling, IL
Joined: 09.24.2009

Jul 5 @ 11:40 AM ET
Not to be tinfoil hat about the situation, but I have to wonder if some of this reluctance is being pushed by the league. Obviously they are not happy about this loophole/contract situation and are unable to do anything about it (see Pronger)

Justin, do you think that the league has sent out any quiet or not-so-quiet memo's discouraging teams from taking a Hossa trade? The Hawks have not been relevant contenders the last two years, which makes me wonder why teams would "not want to do the Hawks any favors."

- Q-stache


Q - you know where I stand on this.......Bettman did all kinds of favors for Philly and Arizona when he didn't force his rules when Pronger was hired by the league (how could he play when he was working for the league = retirement from being a player).
Bjm84
Chicago Blackhawks
Joined: 03.29.2013

Jul 5 @ 11:40 AM ET
I think we need to consider what trade chips the Blackhawks DO have that might be covetable assets.

Possibles:
Sikura
Krys
Bueaden
Forsling
Murphy
Edjell


Would not move:

Bonqvist
D. Mitchell
Johikaru
Schmaltz
Debrincat
Tyler Cameron
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 10.31.2017

Jul 5 @ 11:41 AM ET
Lol Montreal
- mrpaulish


That sucks!

@frank_seravalli

#Habs announce Shea Weber will miss 5 to 6 months after undergoing surgery in Colorado to repair a torn meniscus in his right knee.
walleyeb1
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Petersburg, IL
Joined: 09.25.2014

Jul 5 @ 11:41 AM ET
Maybe they do not have to pay based on games play in other states? It's based on the tax information provided by GAVIN Hockey Wealth Specialists, a leading financial advisor to NHL players, so you'd think they'd know best. I personally have no idea.
- L_B_R



Here’s the actual tool:

https://gavingroup.ca/nhl-tax-calculator/
Mr Ricochet
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Joliet, IL
Joined: 04.19.2009

Jul 5 @ 11:41 AM ET
Thanks for the info! Then I agree, what the Hawks need badly. I would be happy to add him, but I would be even happier by not giving up Murphy. I actually like Murphy and think given some steady time in this system, he can exceed. Adding Stralman (based on your description) and keeping Murphy would sound like a rock solid blue line.

Keith, Seabs, Murphy, Stralman, Joker, Forsling, Manning, Rutta, Hillman, etc.

Seems like a good mix of old/young, hopefully assist the development.

- HawksHype


No doubt Stralman is a fit for the Hawks, no doubt. But what is it the Hawks are doing, the long term plan? If they think they can win a cup THIS yr then a Stralman, who will cost picks/prospects, is the move. He's a UFA next yr, do you think the Hawks can win a cup this yr?

I don't, and think Stralman at 31 yrs old today will want 4-5 yrs at 6 mil to resign with the Hawks next yr. Another aging player signed for 4-5 yrs, at the cost of assets to acquire, to a team full of them with no real chance of a cup run for 2-3 yrs.
Mr Ricochet
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Joliet, IL
Joined: 04.19.2009

Jul 5 @ 11:42 AM ET
Yeah, and if Q is gone soon, maybe the next coach gets more out of Murphy.
.

- matt_ahrens


Indeed!
HawksHype
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 07.08.2011

Jul 5 @ 11:46 AM ET
No doubt Stralman is a fit for the Hawks, no doubt. But what is it the Hawks are doing, the long term plan? If they think they can win a cup THIS yr then a Stralman, who will cost picks/prospects, is the move. He's a UFA next yr, do you think the Hawks can win a cup this yr?

I don't, and think Stralman at 31 yrs old today will want 4-5 yrs at 6 mil to resign with the Hawks next yr. Another aging player signed for 4-5 yrs, at the cost of assets to acquire, to a team full of them with no real chance of a cup run for 2-3 yrs.

- Mr Ricochet


Agreed. I don't know the path the Hawks should go, nor do I think they fully know. If no Crow, you have no shot. If you have Crow, you have a shot. You have a team with Crow that got off to a hot start and played pretty well with him in net. Without him, one of the worst teams in the league. The news to the public on Crow is confusing. I'm just hoping it's more clear to the FO.
matt_ahrens
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: San Carlos, CA
Joined: 06.30.2014

Jul 5 @ 11:49 AM ET
That sucks!

@frank_seravalli

#Habs announce Shea Weber will miss 5 to 6 months after undergoing surgery in Colorado to repair a torn meniscus in his right knee.

- Justin Lowe


That must have been a heck of a tear to be out that long. Normally a torn meniscus gets scoped and a player is back in weeks, not months. That timeframe is more normal for a ligament tear.
StLBravesFan
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 07.03.2011

Jul 5 @ 11:52 AM ET
Maybe they do not have to pay based on games play in other states? It's based on the tax information provided by GAVIN Hockey Wealth Specialists, a leading financial advisor to NHL players, so you'd think they'd know best. I personally have no idea.
- L_B_R


Well, it was my understanding that they did - not from any experience with professional athletes and their taxes, but from general reading.

I could be wrong....
walleyeb1
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Petersburg, IL
Joined: 09.25.2014

Jul 5 @ 11:52 AM ET
@joesmithtb

Hearing similar rumblings on #TBLightning being eventual landing spot for Karlsson. Wouldn’t be surprised, though no guarantees with deal of this magnitude. Couple days ago the Stars were considered front runners, per @seanshapiro. TB could get a 3rd team involved to move salary.
Bjm84
Chicago Blackhawks
Joined: 03.29.2013

Jul 5 @ 11:56 AM ET
I think we need to consider what trade chips the Blackhawks DO have that might be covetable assets.

Possibles:
Sikura
Krys
Bueaden
Forsling
Murphy
Edjell


Would not move:

Bonqvist
D. Mitchell
Johikaru
Schmaltz
Debrincat

- Bjm84


Sometihng like: Sikura + Anisimov + 2019 1st + Krys + Hossa's contract to Ottawa for Matt Duchene and Cody Ceci rights (RFA).

For the Blackhawks, we're paying a lot but getting an upgrade at the pivot and also a solid D-man. Also moving from Hossa's contract.

Ottawa might do this because they're in full rebuild and Sikura, 2019 1st, and Krys are developable assets. Plus Duchene's contract is up next year and Ceci is an RFA.




L_B_R
Chicago Blackhawks
Joined: 02.23.2014

Jul 5 @ 11:58 AM ET
No doubt Stralman is a fit for the Hawks, no doubt. But what is it the Hawks are doing, the long term plan? If they think they can win a cup THIS yr then a Stralman, who will cost picks/prospects, is the move. He's a UFA next yr, do you think the Hawks can win a cup this yr?

I don't, and think Stralman at 31 yrs old today will want 4-5 yrs at 6 mil to resign with the Hawks next yr. Another aging player signed for 4-5 yrs, at the cost of assets to acquire, to a team full of them with no real chance of a cup run for 2-3 yrs.

- Mr Ricochet

I've been such a big fan of Stralman for year, was so hoping the Hawks would sign him in 2014 even when they didn't really have space lol, but it's either a big commitment for a guy who will be 33 before a new deal starts or getting rid of assets for nothing much. Honestly, Tampa would be better off seeing if someone would take Giardi with them throwing in a sweetener than moving Stralman, though. Go all for it this season with Hedman, Stralman, Karlsson, and McDonagh. Best top 4 ever??
Mr Ricochet
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Joliet, IL
Joined: 04.19.2009

Jul 5 @ 11:59 AM ET
Agreed. I don't know the path the Hawks should go, nor do I think they fully know. If no Crow, you have no shot. If you have Crow, you have a shot. You have a team with Crow that got off to a hot start and played pretty well with him in net. Without him, one of the worst teams in the league. The news to the public on Crow is confusing. I'm just hoping it's more clear to the FO.
- HawksHype


Yep, at best the whole thing is confusing and as you mention I hope the Hawks have a better idea of what they're dealing with both short and long term. I'm sure they ain't gonna be sharing what they know or don't and that's fine just that they are realistic as they evaluate where they are today.
L_B_R
Chicago Blackhawks
Joined: 02.23.2014

Jul 5 @ 12:01 PM ET
I think we need to consider what trade chips the Blackhawks DO have that might be covetable assets.

Possibles:
Sikura
Krys
Bueaden
Forsling
Murphy
Edjell


Would not move:

Bonqvist
D. Mitchell
Johikaru
Schmaltz
Debrincat

- Bjm84

There is a good reason not to trade Sikura: it sends a bad message to NCAA players. Sikura could have pulled a Hayes to have complete control over what team he wanted to play for but trusted the Hawks were the best road for him. What does it say that they will then turn around and trade him the summer he could have gone FA?

Hawks already have a record of a NCAA kid not wanting to sign with them, it's probably not a great idea to add another to that list, esp one as high profile as Sikura. The Hawks draft a lot of NCAA kids.
Antilles
St Louis Blues
Joined: 10.17.2008

Jul 5 @ 12:04 PM ET
Not to be tinfoil hat about the situation, but I have to wonder if some of this reluctance is being pushed by the league. Obviously they are not happy about this loophole/contract situation and are unable to do anything about it (see Pronger)

Justin, do you think that the league has sent out any quiet or not-so-quiet memo's discouraging teams from taking a Hossa trade? The Hawks have not been relevant contenders the last two years, which makes me wonder why teams would "not want to do the Hawks any favors."

- Q-stache


I think it's more likely the league has let teams know they are probably going to change how LTIR works next CBA from being calculated by a players cap hit to being calculated by a players actual salary. If either side opts out, that will effect the last year of Hossa's contract.
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