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Thursday night pix - 2 system plays!!

April 22, 2021, 6:58 AM ET [2 Comments]
Puck Pix
NHL odds analysis • RSSArchiveCONTACT
Last night 1-1 +.16 Units
YTD 184-165-4 +25.32 Units

We have 9 games for this Thursday night, far better than last night’s 4 games! Caps/Isles, Leafs/Jets and Avs/Blues highlight the night as many games have playoff implications.

**I have started to research teams that come off at least a 5 game road trip and how they fare in their first game back home.** Its 10-8 to date.

Scenario #1 – Teams that are rested, either sitting at home or on the road while their opponent plays the night before. 22-10 over the last month of tracking it! The under is 18-13-1 in these spots.

Scenario #2 – Teams that are playing each other in back to back games, in which the home team loses the first game, the record of the home team in the second game is 75-49. Buffalo and Florida fit the system tonight.

Scenario #3 – Teams playing back to back road games on consecutive nights tend to go under the total in the 2nd game. So far that trend is 37-28-2 when teams play on the road back to back nights.

Scenario #4 - One last angle I am tracking that is slightly profitable and similar to Scenario #1, is when any team loses the first game of a back to back against the same team, regardless if it’s on the road or at home, those teams are 95-69 in that situation.

Quick stat updates -
First period totals going over were 2-2 last night and are 335-369 on the season.
Road teams were 2-2 last night and are 330-365 on the season.
Game totals going over the total were 3-1 last night and are 325-340-29 on the season.

Gamenotes for tonight –

Bruins/Sabres – Play Scenario #1. Bruins have won all 4 head to head and all 4 have gone under the total. Bruins have won 6 straight too.

Caps/Isles – Caps have gone over the total 7 games in a row! It has been a home dominated series this year, Caps 3 wins at home, Isles 2 wins at home.

Jackets/TB – They have split the season series at 3 wins apiece. Jackets 1-9 in their last 10.

Devils/Pens – Devils have lost 7 in a row and 1-9 in their last 10. Pitt has won 4 of 6 head to head to head this season.

Leafs/Jets – Toronto has lost 5 in a row! Jets have been off for 5 days. Leafs have won 4 of 7 head to head this season.

Flyers/Rangers – Each team has won 3 times head to head with 4 of 6 going over the total.

Stars/Wings – Dallas has won 5 of 6 head to head this season and 4 straight overall as they push for the final playoff spot in their division.

Avs/Blues – Avs first game in over a week due to Covid, Blues been off for 5 days too. Blues won the first meeting this season, Avs have won the last 4 games.

Sens/Canucks – Vancouver has won all 5 meetings this season with 4 of 5 going under the total.

All system plays for 1 Unit each tonight –

Buffalo – ML(+270)
Florida – ML(+104)

Good luck tonight!

Puckpix
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