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Wednesday night pix - 1 system play plus a non-system play!!

May 11, 2021, 11:13 PM ET [4 Comments]
Puck Pix
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Tuesday night - 2-0 +2.00 Units
YTD - 216-187-5 +37.81 Units

Only 5 games on the card tonight but both first place in the West Division and the President's Trophy is on the line as both Vegas and Colorado finish out the season this week. We have one system play tonight, with the Avs off a tough roadie! See gamenotes below.

**I have started to research teams that come off at least a 5 game road trip and how they fare in their first game back home.** Its 11-8 to date. Colorado off a 5 game roadie fits the system tonight.

Scenario #1 – Teams that are rested, either sitting at home or on the road while their opponent plays the night before. 29-12 over the last month of tracking it! The under is 23-17-1 in these spots.

Scenario #2 – Teams that are playing each other in back to back games, in which the home team loses the first game, the record of the home team in the second game is 81-53.

Scenario #3 – Teams playing back to back road games on consecutive nights tend to go under the total in the 2nd game. So far that trend is 44-36-2 when teams play on the road back to back nights.

Scenario #4 - One last angle I am tracking that is slightly profitable and similar to Scenario #1, is when any team loses the first game of a back to back against the same team, regardless if it’s on the road or at home, those teams are 95-69 in that situation.

Quick stat updates -
First period totals going over were 0-2 last night and are 413-432 on the season.
Road teams were 0-2 last night and are 393-446 on the season.
Game totals going over the total were 0-2 last night and are 395-406-35 on the season.

Gamenotes for tonight -

Oilers/Habs - Neither team has anything to play for. Habs have won 5 of 8 head to head but 6 of 8 have gone under the total this season.

Leafs/Sens - Sens are one of the hottest in the NHL right now. Leafs have won 5 of 8 head to head and 5 of 8 have gone over the total this season.

Vegas/SJ - Vegas has won all 7 meetings this season and need this win in hopes of winning the division and 1st overall in the standings.

LA/Colorado - Avs off 5 game roadie. Avs have won 5 of 6 head to head with 5 of 6 going under the total this season.

Wild/Blues - Blues have won 4 of 6 head to head with 4 of 6 going over the total this season.

System plays all for 1 unit each -

LA - ML(+385)

Non-system play for 1 unit -

Ottawa - ML(+180)The Leafs Freddie Anderson plays his first NHL game in goal in almost 2 months plus this young Ottawa team will want to rebound from their horrible game on Sunday night. Watch out for this young team tonight, Leafs have nothing to play for!

GL tonight!
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