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Thursday night pix - 1 system play!

May 6, 2021, 5:11 PM ET [2 Comments]
Puck Pix
NHL odds analysis • RSSArchiveCONTACT
Last night - 2-1 +2.45 Units
YTD - 205-182-5 +30.84 Units

Only 6 games tonight with 2 game in the North Division highlighting the card! See below for notes.

**I have started to research teams that come off at least a 5 game road trip and how they fare in their first game back home.** Its 11-8 to date.

Scenario #1 – Teams that are rested, either sitting at home or on the road while their opponent plays the night before. 25-12 over the last month of tracking it! The under is 22-14-1 in these spots. Toronto fits the system tonight with Montreal playing last night in Ottawa.

Scenario #2 – Teams that are playing each other in back to back games, in which the home team loses the first game, the record of the home team in the second game is 81-53.

Scenario #3 – Teams playing back to back road games on consecutive nights tend to go under the total in the 2nd game. So far that trend is 40-33-2 when teams play on the road back to back nights.

Scenario #4 - One last angle I am tracking that is slightly profitable and similar to Scenario #1, is when any team loses the first game of a back to back against the same team, regardless if it’s on the road or at home, those teams are 95-69 in that situation.

Quick stat updates -
First period totals going over were 3-6 last night and are 392-416 on the season.
Road teams were 5-4 last night and are 376-422 on the season.
Game totals going over the total were 4-4-1 last night and are 375-387-34 on the season.

Gamenotes for tonight -

NYR/Boston - Boston has won 4 of 6 head to head with 5 of 6 going under the total this season.

NJ/NYI - Isles have won 5 of 6 head to head with 5 of 6 going under the total this season. Islesat Boston on deck!

Buffalo/Pittsburgh - Pens have won 5 of 6 head to head but are off a 4 game roadie.

Habs/Leafs - Play Scenario #1. Leafs have won 5 of 8 head to head with 5 of 8 going under the total this season.

Hawks/Canes - Canes have won 5 in a row, Hawks have lost 5 in a row. 6 of 7 have gone over the total this season and Canes have won 5 of 7 head to head.

Canucks/Oilers - Oilers have won 5 of 7 head to head while the Canucks have lost 6 in a row.

System plays all for 1 Unit each -

Toronto - ML(-229)

GL Tonight!
Puckpix
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