Young Leafs having a difficult time closing the deal (maple leafs)

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The Toronto Maple Leafs had an excuse for their loss to Washington on Tuesday, playing the second back-to-back games and backup Curtis McElhinney in goal, but fatigue and goaltending were not the problem in the 4-1 loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday.

Toronto was outworked by a more experienced and desperate Lightning squad and was tentative throughout the game that would have clinched a playoff spot for the first time since 2013.

Tampa had the young Leafs squad on their heels and stepped up their physical play against rookie Auston Matthews, who was stunned momentarily by a low hit from defenseman Jake Dotchin in the first period.

Other than Nazem Kadri’s quick reply to Brayden Point’s opening goal, Toronto had no answers for the Lightning. Nikita Kucherov responded midway through the middle frame with his 39th of the year to put the visitors ahead for good and Michael Bournival and Point tallied in the third to put the game out of reach.

“We made it harder than it should be, we didn't play like we normally do and I thought we were slow. I don't know if we were tight or – well, we were, but we weren't in sync and they won all of the battles and all of the races.… Leafs coach Mike Babcock said following the loss. “You go over and over a foundation of how to play so in the big moments you do what you do. We didn't do that. That's part of the experience of our group. So, you've got to go back to the drawing board, get re-energized and get ready to play our next opponent.…

Entering the final weekend, Toronto needs to win one of their final two home games against the Pittsburgh Penguins and Columbus Blue Jackets to lock up a playoff spot and could face watered down lineups since the Pens clinched second place in the Metropolitan Division on Thursday.

Tampa (who face Montreal on Friday and Buffalo at Amalie Arena on Sunday) and the Islanders (who play at New Jersey on Saturday and Ottawa at home on Sunday) have to win both games and home that Toronto loses their final two.

The Senators have 96 points and can clinch home ice advantage in the first round with a win in either of their last two games (NY Rangers at home on Saturday and NY Islanders in Brooklyn on Sunday) to finish out the regular season.

Boston moved to 95 points with the shootout loss to Ottawa and finish at home against the Capitals on Saturday afternoon.

Avoiding the Capitals seemed to be an achievable goal after winning in Buffalo earlier this week, but with two regulation losses the Leafs need Ottawa to get no more than one point in their final two games, which is possible since Sens GM Pierre Dorion indicated on Friday that defenseman Erik Karlsson will sit out the weekend.

Boston can avoid the second wildcard with a win over Washington, since they will have more ROW(regulation/overtime wins) than both Ottawa or Toronto. If Boston loses in OT or a shootout, the Leafs can finish third with two wins over Pittsburgh and Columbus.

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Listen to Friday night's edition of "Off the Post" with Anthony Mingioni, Russ Cohen and myself, as we discuss the final weekend of the regular season and a few of the first round playoff matchups.

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