Last night 1-2 even Units YTD 125-88-2 +51.21 Units(season high)
Well, that was a frustrating night watching the Flyers yet again, lose as they continue to play no defense while giving up SHG and PPG! I forced that play, I never should've as Mike Yeo is the same voice they've been hearing but as an Asst. Coach. The Canucks on the other hand responded in a big way to a new voice with Bruce Boudreau. Live and learn as they say. Lastly, Seattle started Joey Daccord in goal after it had been reported that Grubauer was the starter in goal. Daccord got pulled after the first three goals, but then Grubauer came in and allowed three goals on four shots!!!!
The last two nights have been very average for us here, missing on the Flyers in back-to-back nights. I completely forgot to add in my posted plays the over in the Avs/Flyers game and the under in the Sens/Devils in which I stated both were strong leans. I won't include those in my record, but I hope others followed along on those 2 plays. We have a 10 game card tonight but I'm not super big on it, the game analysis is below for tonight's games.
**Merzlikins/Campbell confirmed goalies** The Leafs are off two losses on the road to Minny and Winnipeg and it's their first time losing consecutive games since Oct. 25th. The Jackets have quietly snuck up on teams this season, with solid coaching, balanced lines, and a strong defensive structure. Be very careful of this game if you are planning on taking the Leafs as Toronto has TB on deck on Thursday. This is a team they will probably play in the playoffs and the Leafs will want to sink every bit of energy into this game against the Cups Champs. Tonight is a classic look-ahead game for Toronto. Small lean to CLB +230. Toronto at -280 is insane juice.
**Vasilevsky/Allen confirmed goalies** TB at MTL is a classic game of two teams going in different directions. TB has won 6 of their last 8 while the Habs have lost 9 of their last 11 games. Both teams are banged up too with key injuries, I will pass on this game as there are far better games on the card.
**Sorokin/Gustavsson confirmed goalies** The Sens have won 3 straight but they played last night in NJ while the NY Islanders rested in Ottawa. This will be the Sens 5th game in 7 nights, which is just a horrible spot for them. If the Isles lose this game then I truly wonder if Barry Trotz's job is in jeopardy. NYI has lost 11 in a row but in their last 3 games, they have earned in point in each of them losing twice in OT and once in a shootout. Strong lean to NYI -130 and lean to the under too as both teams have gone under the total a lot this season.
**No confirmed goalies** Nashville is on a weird run of winning a game, then losing a game. So it's time for a loss lol! But seriously, this Preds team is so inconsistent and the Wings are red hot having won 5 in a row and are terrific at home(9-2-2). Strong lean to the Wings -105.
**Stolarzf/Luukkonen confirmed goalies, first start for the rookie!** The Ducks played in a hard fought loss in a shootout to the Caps, while the Sabres sat rested. Buffalo has 3 goalies out now with injury, so Dell will be the starter. The Sabres have lost 9 of their last 10 games, so I just can't play a team in a funk, even though the system says to play Buffalo. I will pass on this game.
**Knight/Husso confirmed goalies** This is the back end of a back-to-back for FL and STL as the Panthers won at home in a shootout for the Blues. Florida is terrible on the road and is very banged up with key injuries. Strong lean to the Blues as a small dog at +110.
**Anderson/Hellebuyck confirmed goalies** Carolina hits the road for a 5 game west coast roadie and has lost 5 of their last 7 games, so they're definitely hitting a tough part of their schedule. The Jets are off two nice home wins winning 8-4 and 6-3, but now they get a team that plays a similar style to them. Both teams are -110, small lean to the Jets here.
**Georgiev/Fleury confirmed goalies** The Hawks are off a quick 3 game roadie and they face the NY Rangers who get it done on the road or at home. Chicago lost in NY last week and the Hawks are on a weird run too like Nashville, winning a game, then losing a game, for 9 straight so if you play that angle it calls for a loss tonight. Small lean to NYR -125 as they have the Avs on deck tomorrow night, could be a look ahead here.
**Talbot/Koskinen confirmed goalies** Minnesota has won 6 in a row and hit the road for four straight on the west coast. The Oilers are really banged up and are on a 6 game homestand. The Wild are a very strong team on the road and match up well with Edmonton. There is a reason is the Oilers are only a -125 fav. Small lean to the Wild +105. Look at the over in this one as both teams have combined to go over the total in 30 of 46 games this season.
**Vladar/Hill confirmed goalies** The Sharks are off a 5 game roadie and now start a 7 game homestand. I always say play against a team off a roadie of 5 games or more like SJ in this spot. The Flames are the best road team in the NHL, strong lean to Calgary -140.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ The following numbers from last night were requested by all the Draft Kings reader's here, so I hope all of you that read the column daily can use them to your advantage - Total goals last night - 40(Home - 20/Road - 20) Total PP goals last night - 7 Total SH goals last night - 2 Favs were 5-1 last night. The last nine days favs have gone 60-27! **Another prop to try is empty-net goals, you would be surprised how many are scored each night as coaches tend to pull the goalie earlier than if down 1 or 2 goals.
Home teams are now 216-169. Over/Under the total is 189-185-7 on the year. Teams in back-to-back consecutive road games are now 33-25-1 over/under the total. Teams rested the night before when their opponent plays the prior night are 33-26. East vs West games, West 83-78 over the Eastern Conference. Teams playing 3 in 4 nights on the road, bet against in 3rd game - 18-10 Teams playing 4 in 6 nights on the road, bet against in 4th game - 18-5 Teams off 5 game roadie or more, bet against them. 10-5 Teams playing 5 in 8 nights on the road, bet against them in 5th game - 8-3 Teams playing in their 6th straight road game, bet against them. 1-4
Playing tonight- Back later with more confirmed plays, be sure to check back throughout the day!
NYI - ML(-130)(3 Units) Wings - ML(-105)(2 Units) Blues - ML(+110)(2 Units) Flames - ML(-140)(3 Units)
If anyone has a system that they would like to share in the comment section, please do! We're all trying to help each win $, anything that can help the group here would be great. If anyone has any questions or comments, either drop me an IM or leave a comment in the discussion section of the blog. I always get back to everyone!
Good Luck Tonight! Puckpix