Last night 3-1 +3.58 Units YTD 187-168-4 +26.90 Units
Every single game today has playoff implications! Naturally some are bigger than others when you have teams going head to head in which they are fighting one another for a playoff spot. Habs/Flames, Leafs/Jets, Caps/Isles and Canes/Panthers fit that bill today! Enjoy some “early… playoff hockey today!
**I have started to research teams that come off at least a 5 game road trip and how they fare in their first game back home.** Its 10-8 to date.
Scenario #1 – Teams that are rested, either sitting at home or on the road while their opponent plays the night before. 22-10 over the last month of tracking it! The under is 18-13-1 in these spots.
Scenario #2 – Teams that are playing each other in back to back games, in which the home team loses the first game, the record of the home team in the second game is 76-51. NYI, Florida, Vancouver and STL fit the system today.
Scenario #3 – Teams playing back to back road games on consecutive nights tend to go under the total in the 2nd game. So far that trend is 38-29-2 when teams play on the road back to back nights.
Scenario #4 - One last angle I am tracking that is slightly profitable and similar to Scenario #1, is when any team loses the first game of a back to back against the same team, regardless if it’s on the road or at home, those teams are 95-69 in that situation.
Quick stat updates - First period totals going over were 4-1 last night and are 344-375 on the season. Road teams were 2-3 last night and are 339-371 on the season. Game totals going over the total were 2-2 last night and are 331-347-30 on the season.
Gamenotes for tonight –
Avs/Blues – 3PM – Avs have won 5 of 6 head to head this season.
Leafs/Jets – Leafs have won 5 of 8 head to head and 5 of 8 have gone over the total this season.
Habs/Flames – Calgary has won 5 of 7 head to head and 5 of 7 have gone under the total this season.
Caps/NYI – Caps have won 4 of 6 head to head and 4 of 6 have gone the total this season.
Canes/Panthers – Carolina has won 6 of 7 head to head this season!
Stars/Wings – Dallas has won 5 of 7 head to head this season.
Vegas/Anaheim – Vegas has won 6 of 7 head to head this season but have Colorado on deck!
Wild/Sharks – Minny has won 4 of 7 head to head and 5 of 7 have gone over the total this season.
Sens/Canucks – Sens have won 3 in a row all on the road and beat Vancouver for the first time this season last game out. The last 5 have gone under the total head to head, 5 of 6 this season.
AZ/LA – Kings have won 3 of 5 head to head and 3 of 5 have gone over the total this season.
All system plays for 1 Unit each tonight –
STL – ML(+150) Jets – ML(+110) Florida – ML(even) Dallas – ML(-213) NYI – ML(-139) Vancouver – ML(-145)
Non-system plays for 1 Unit each –
Caps/Isles u5.5(+108) Sens/Canucks u6(+102)
Good luck tonight!
Puckpix