While The New York Islanders locked up most of their free agents before July 1, Anthony Beauvillier is the last roster regular still in need of a new contract (you could maybe count Michael Dal Colle here too).
It’s likely we see a bridge-deal for Beauvillier with a two or three year term. The Islanders wouldn’t want to go long-term based on the risk factor unless it’s a low number, while Beauvillier wouldn’t want to get locked in to a long-term deal at a low AAV.
To find a fair AAV, we can look at three-year deal comparables. Kasperi Kapanen, Ondrej Kase and Oliver Bjorkstrand all landed three year deals, which work out to a range of about $2.55M to $3.20M per year when adjusted to the 2019-20 salary cap. Each averaged between 40-50 points per 82 games in their contract year, while Beauvillier had just 28 points, likely putting Beauvillier below that range.
Some good comparables for a three-year deal would be Radek Faksa and Josh Anderson. Faksa had 29.5 career points per 82 and 33.8 points per 82 in his contract year before signing at $2.2M per year, which is equal to about a $2.4M AAV today. Anderson, on the other hand, had a 29 career points per 82 average and a 30.5 points per 82 average in his contract year, which got him $1.85M per year, equal to about a $2M AAV today. This is the likely range for Beauvillier.
So if Beauvillier takes a three-year deal, look for it to come in between $2M to $2.4M. If it’s a two-year deal, it’ll likely be on the lower end of the scale, either right at $2M or $100,000 to $200,000 below.
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