Yesterday - 1-0 +3.00 Unts Playoff YTD - 25-17 +13.47 Units Yesterday - 5-2 +3.75 Units Player Props 10-8 - .60 Units
A quick look back at yesterday's game, as we hit TB on the ML and 5 of 7 player props. In my game notes, I had written about how Fox for the NYR had gone under 2.5 SOG a lot, now he has gone under in 6 of 8 road games. Strome over 1.5 SOG has now hit in 7 of 8 road games but it looks like he will be out for Game 4 unfortunately, while Trouba also went over 1.5 SOG again, hitting 7 of 8 road games in this spot. So it was frustrating to not hit these trends when I had written about them! We missed on the Colton over 1.5 SOG, badly as he was only one of two players not to register a SOG.
Looking ahead to tonight's game, I truly hope Edmonton can avoid being swept at home but the Avs are 6-0 on the road during the playoffs! With the last two games going under the total and with Kane suspended for Game 4, I really see both teams continuing to play more defensive minded.
Here is a look at some trends with the player props for Game 4. Colorado -
Devin Toews - in 5 of his last 6 games he has gone under 2.5 SOG -180. In 9 of 13 games, he has at least 1 pt. and road games 5 of 6 at least 1 pt.
Gabriel Landeskog - in 3 of 5 road games he has 0 pts. under 0.5 +150 is worth a shot.
Mika Rantanen - 7 of 13 games under 2.5 SOG, 10 of 13 games with at least 0.5 pt. -250.
Nathan McKinnon - He's 0 for 6 on the road, under 1.5 pts. -180. Gold!
Valeri Nichushkin - In 5 of 6 road games he has at least one point. over 0.5pt. -135.
Edmonton -
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins - In his last 8 games he has only gone over 2.5 SOG in 2 of those games. under 2.5 SOG -135.
Leon Draisaitl - In 4 of his last 5 games he has gone under 3.5 SOG -130. Last 2 games under 1.5 pts. -150 after going over 1.5 pts in 6 straight games.
Connor McDavid - 11 of 15 playoffs games he has gone over 1.5 points, odds are over 1.5 -150 but in 3 of his last 4 games he hasn't. His SOG prop has moved up to 4.5 -160! He hasn't gone over 4 SOG in his last 6 games.
Daniel Nurse - He is clearly playing hurt, he has gone under 0.5pts -175, in 10 of 15 games.
Playing tonight -
COL/EDM u7(-125)(2 Units)
Prop bets all for 1 Unit each tonight -
Toews over 0.5pt.(-135) Toews under 2.5 SOG(-180) Rantanen over 0.5pt.(-250) McKinnon under 1.5pts.(-180) Nichushkin over 0.5pts.(-135) Draisaitl under 3.5 SOG(-130) RNH under 2.5 SOG(-135)
Good Luck Tonight! Puckpix