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G61 Calgary Flames @ Vegas Golden Knights: Five things to watch

February 21, 2018, 12:28 PM ET [58 Comments]
Todd Cordell
Calgary Flames Blogger • RSSArchiveCONTACT
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Five things to watch for when the Calgary Flames take on the Vegas Golden Knights:

1. Wild Bill

Nikita Kucherov. Alex Ovechkin. Auston Matthews. Those are the only three players in the NHL who have scored more 5v5 goals than William Karlsson has this season.

At better than 20%, his shooting percentage is unsustainably high but his speed does lead him to a lot of Grade A looks, which surely plays a big role in that.

The Flames were pretty sloppy against the Bruins and gave them way too many odd-man rushes and breakaways. If they don't tighten things up, Karlsson is at or near the top of the list of players who will make them pay.

2. 5v5 play

The Golden Knights are a very disciplined team. They've taken just 191 penalties this season, which is fewer than every team but the Hurricanes and Blue Jackets.

They're not going to parade to the box and spoon-feed power play opportunities so the Flames will have to take care of business at 5v5.

Recent play suggests the Flames should have a slight advantage in that game state. Over the last 10 games, they rank 10th in Scoring Chance For% while the Golden Knights slot in at 15th.

3. Micheal Ferland

Ferland has had a fantastic season. While skating full-time on one of the league's best lines, he has already set career highs in goals (20) and points (34) with more than a quarter of the season remaining. There's no doubt he has out played his contract.

In saying that, he has been quiet of late recording just five points (one goal, four assists) and 16 shots over his last 15 games. The Flames need him to get going again because they can't really rely on their bottom-6 for consistent production.

4. A potential goaltending duel

What do Marc-Andre Fleury and David Rittich have in common? They've both stopped a higher percentage of shots at 5v5 than notables such as Braden Holtby, Henrik Lundqvist, Cory Schneider and Matt Murray, among others.

The sample sizes aren't massive – Fleury missed time with an injury and Rittich is a backup – but they've been very good in the games they have dressed in.

5. The defense will be involved

As is often the case in Flames games, it's safe to expect a lot of shots from defensemen.

Between the two sides, there are nine defensemen that rank inside the top-100 in shot attempts/60 expected to dress in this game.

The Flames have the more gifted blue liners, obviously, but Vegas has a few trigger happy guys as well.

Here are the projected lineups:

Calgary

Johnny Gaudreau - Sean Monahan - Micheal Ferland
Matthew Tkachuk - Mikael Backlund - Michael Frolik
Sam Bennett - Mark Jankowski - Garnet Hathaway
Curtis Lazar - Matt Stajan - Ryan Lomberg

Mark Giordano - Dougie Hamilton
T.J. Brodie - Travis Hamonic
Brett Kulak - Michael Stone

David Rittich

Vegas (via DailyFaceoff.com)

Jonathan Marchessault - William Karlsson - Reilly Smith
David Perron - Erik Haula - Alex Tuch
Ryan Carpenter - Cody Eakin - Tomas Nosek
Tomas Hyka - Stefan Matteau - Oscar Lindberg

Brayden McNabb - Nate Schmidt
Deryk Engelland - Luca Sbisa
Colin Miller - Brad Hunt

Marc-Andre Fleury

Puck drop is just after 10:30 eastern and can be seen on SNF and ATTSN-RM.

Recent posts:

The Flames were smart to re-sign Mikael Backlund

Gaudreau - Monahan - Ferland line has been one of league's best this season
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